赔率学院

Botafogo v Racing Club

开赛时间： 2026-05-07 00:30 UTC

最终结果： Botafogo 2–1 Racing Club

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Botafogo (主队)

预测 39.99%2.50公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -2.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
39.39%40.35%39.82%43.44%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.102.242.252.4247.62%44.70%44.44%41.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

Racing Club (客队)

预测 28.93%3.46公平赔率
EV +1.26%
优势 +0.361%
Kelly +0.505%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.14%28.66%29.14%30.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.85%30.77%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.08%3.22公平赔率
EV +5.66%
优势 +1.66%
Kelly +2.36%
增长率 +0.133%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.50%30.99%31.05%32.65%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.083.103.4035.71%32.46%32.26%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.39%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%EV +1.26%E +0.361%K +0.505%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%EV +5.66%E +1.66%K +2.36%G +0.133%2.4%2026-05-07 00:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028%5.6%2026-05-07 00:25
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028%5.6%2026-05-07 00:25
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028%5.6%2026-05-07 00:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -12.82%E -5.88%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.63%E -0.480%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV +2.55%E +0.773%K +1.11%G +0.028%5.6%2026-05-07 00:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -12.02%E -5.46%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +1.26%E +0.361%K +0.505%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 23:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 00:25
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 00:25
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -16.02%E -7.63%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.557%E -0.174%K -0.253%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 00:25
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -11.22%E -5.05%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV +0.105%E +0.030%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.77%EV -0.867%E -0.272%K -0.396%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 00:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -4.82%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.86%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 00:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 00:23
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 00:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.02%E -2.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 00:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.10%E -5.55%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -14.02%E -6.52%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.20%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-07 00:19
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.39%EV -3.22%E -1.33%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.96%EV -1.34%E -0.393%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.65%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 00:15
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.22%E -3.11%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.97%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -9.26%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 00:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 00:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 00:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 00:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 00:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.02%E -3.49%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 00:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.42%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.50%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 00:16
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.02%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.99%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-07 00:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-07 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%1.6%2026-05-07 00:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-05-07 00:25