La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Club Independiente Petrolero

Inizio: 2026-04-28 22:00 UTC

Finale: Botafogo 3–0 Club Independiente Petrolero

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 87.93%1.14quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -3.82%
Kelly -46.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.41%87.93%87.97%89.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.46%94.34%91.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Independiente Petrolero (Trasferta)

Previsione 2.79%35.90quota equa
EV +0.283%
Vantaggio +0.008%
Kelly +0.008%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 36.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.64%2.79%2.72%4.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
19.0029.3531.0036.005.26%3.41%3.23%2.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 9.29%10.77quota equa
EV +16.08%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescita +0.225%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.80%9.29%9.31%11.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.9010.4210.2012.5012.66%9.60%9.80%8.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.42%EV -4.16%E -3.82%K -46.21%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.78%EV -2.50%E -0.072%K -0.074%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80%EV +16.08%E +1.29%K +1.40%G +0.225%2.6%2026-04-23 10:50
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.08%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.44%E +0.953%K +1.04%G +0.119%5.9%2026-04-23 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.08%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.44%E +0.953%K +1.04%G +0.119%5.9%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.08%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.44%E +0.953%K +1.04%G +0.119%5.9%2026-04-23 10:50
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.08%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +11.44%E +0.953%K +1.04%G +0.119%5.9%2026-04-23 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.65%EV -9.43%E -9.16%K -314.48%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -16.43%E -0.548%K -0.567%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.15%E +0.196%K +0.215%G +0.005%9.5%2026-04-18 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 88.65%EV -9.43%E -9.16%K -314.48%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -16.43%E -0.548%K -0.567%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.15%E +0.196%K +0.215%G +0.005%9.5%2026-04-18 22:35
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 88.65%EV -9.43%E -9.16%K -314.48%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -16.43%E -0.548%K -0.567%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.15%E +0.196%K +0.215%G +0.005%9.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 88.65%EV -9.43%E -9.16%K -314.48%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -16.43%E -0.548%K -0.567%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.15%E +0.196%K +0.215%G +0.005%9.5%2026-04-18 22:34
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.21%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.97%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -2.50%E -0.072%K -0.074%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:19
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.69%EV -7.68%E -7.31%K -153.52%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.54%EV -27.57%E -1.06%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 14:44
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.97%EV -7.68%E -7.31%K -153.52%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 2.98%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.06%EV -5.28%E -0.517%K -0.574%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 00:09
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.97%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +0.283%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:19
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.97%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +0.283%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:19
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.97%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +0.283%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -5.04%E -4.66%K -62.97%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +0.283%E +0.008%K +0.008%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:19
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.53%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -27.57%E -1.06%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.70%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -13.65%E -0.440%K -0.455%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 22:04
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.20%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV -27.57%E -1.06%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.793%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:02
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 85.55%EV -5.92%E -5.53%K -84.53%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -47.07%E -2.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 01:04
betfred_uk1.06I 94.34%NM 84.71%EV -6.80%E -6.41%K -113.27%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%EV -47.07%E -2.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 08:15
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 84.41%EV -8.56%E -8.23%K -213.88%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.62%EV -47.07%E -2.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -25.71%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 14:43
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 84.48%EV -8.56%E -8.23%K -213.88%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.39%EV -44.29%E -2.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.12%EV -26.64%E -3.37%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 22:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 83.20%17.51I 5.71%NM 4.89%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.90%16.7%2026-04-22 02:10