預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Botafogo v Club Cienciano

開賽時間: 2026-08-21 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Botafogo 1–0 Club Cienciano

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Botafogo (主隊)

預測 82.21%1.22公平賠率
EV -4.64%
優勢 -4.00%
Kelly -28.97%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.16

博彩公司預測分布
78.84%82.43%82.20%85.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.071.121.131.1693.46%89.17%88.11%86.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Club Cienciano (客隊)

預測 6.08%16.45公平賠率
EV +27.64%
優勢 +1.32%
Kelly +1.38%
成長率 +0.382%

假設最高賠率為 21.00

博彩公司預測分布
4.61%6.10%6.10%9.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
10.0014.9815.0021.0010.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 11.71%8.54公平賠率
EV +17.11%
優勢 +1.71%
Kelly +1.90%
成長率 +0.325%

假設最高賠率為 10.00

博彩公司預測分布
9.62%11.47%11.71%12.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.008.168.0010.0014.29%12.25%12.50%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Botafogo (主隊):82.21%;Club Cienciano (客隊):6.08%;和局:11.71%。 對於「Club Cienciano (客隊)」,該估計相當於16.45的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為21.00,對應+27.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -7.10%E -6.28%K -54.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.61%EV +27.64%E +1.32%K +1.38%G +0.382%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +17.11%E +1.71%K +1.90%G +0.325%3.3%2026-08-20 23:44
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036%6.8%2026-08-20 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036%6.8%2026-08-20 23:44
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036%6.8%2026-08-20 23:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036%6.8%2026-08-20 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.76%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%16.96I 5.90%NM 5.56%EV +3.08%E +0.182%K +0.193%G +0.006%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.68%EV -5.37%E -0.665%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 00:15
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +17.11%E +1.71%K +1.90%G +0.325%4.0%2026-08-21 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 23:44
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 00:25
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 00:19
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -14.91%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 00:19
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 00:24
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-20 09:58
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.75%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -24.03%E -1.92%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -16.85%E -2.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 00:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.49%EV -4.64%E -4.00%K -28.97%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 7.72%EV -26.46%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 11.79%EV -7.25%E -0.915%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.08%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.34%EV -27.07%E -2.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -18.02%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 00:25
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.21%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -33.14%E -3.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 00:05
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -39.22%E -3.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 00:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.19%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%0.7%2026-08-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33%0.9%2026-08-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33%0.9%2026-08-21 00:25
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.69%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.81%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51%1.3%2026-08-21 00:25