语言:简体中文
Botafogo v Club Cienciano
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Botafogo (主队)
预测 82.21%1.22公平赔率
EV -4.64%
优势 -4.00%
Kelly -28.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.16
博彩公司预测分布
78.84%82.43%82.20%85.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.121.131.1693.46%89.17%88.11%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
Club Cienciano (客队)
预测 6.08%16.45公平赔率
EV +27.64%
优势 +1.32%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.382%
假设最高赔率为 21.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.61%6.10%6.10%9.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0014.9815.0021.0010.00%6.67%6.67%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.71%8.54公平赔率
EV +17.11%
优势 +1.71%
Kelly +1.90%
增长率 +0.325%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.62%11.47%11.71%12.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.168.0010.0014.29%12.25%12.50%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Botafogo (主队)：82.21%；Club Cienciano (客队)：6.08%；平局：11.71%。 对于“Club Cienciano (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为16.45。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为21.00，对应+27.64%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.70%EV -7.10%E -6.28%K -54.63%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.61%EV +27.64%E +1.32%K +1.38%G +0.382% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68%EV +17.11%E +1.71%K +1.90%G +0.325% | 3.3% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +9.40%E +0.522%K +0.553%G +0.052% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +5.40%E +0.600%K +0.675%G +0.036% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.76%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 16.96I 5.90%NM 5.56%EV +3.08%E +0.182%K +0.193%G +0.006% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.68%EV -5.37%E -0.665%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +17.11%E +1.71%K +1.90%G +0.325% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.29%EV -12.03%E -11.25%K -171.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.57%EV -2.75%E -0.172%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.28%E -5.51%K -44.86%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.83%E -0.589%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -14.91%E -1.06%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.75%E -7.88%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -0.454%E -0.053%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 09:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.99%E -1.61%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -6.31%E -0.789%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.75%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.34%EV -24.03%E -1.92%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.92%EV -16.85%E -2.37%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.49%EV -4.64%E -4.00%K -28.97%G +0.000% | 12.10I 8.26%NM 7.72%EV -26.46%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 11.79%EV -7.25%E -0.915%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.08%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.34%EV -27.07%E -2.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -18.02%E -2.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.21%EV -9.57%E -8.70%K -95.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -33.14%E -3.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -5.46%E -4.75%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -39.22%E -3.92%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.16%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.19% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.68% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.69% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.81% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |