语言:简体中文
Boca Juniors v Recoleta FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Boca Juniors (主队)
预测 81.61%1.23公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -1.72%
Kelly -10.32%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
78.33%81.68%81.44%82.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.01%86.96%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Recoleta FC (客队)
预测 5.20%19.22公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.059%
Kelly -0.062%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 19.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.94%5.21%5.22%8.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0015.7116.0019.009.09%6.37%6.25%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 13.18%7.59公平赔率
EV +4.41%
优势 +0.557%
Kelly +0.637%
增长率 +0.028%
假设最高赔率为 7.92
博彩公司预测分布
11.85%13.11%13.34%15.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.817.007.9217.39%14.69%14.29%12.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Boca Juniors (主队)：81.61%；Recoleta FC (客队)：5.20%；平局：13.18%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.59。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.92，对应+4.41%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.88%EV -5.33%E -4.59%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.27%EV -32.87%E -2.55%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 11.85%EV +4.41%E +0.557%K +0.637%G +0.028% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.66%EV -6.96%E -6.11%K -49.72%G +0.000% | 18.66I 5.36%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.155%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.29%EV +1.11%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -6.33%E -0.351%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.13%E -0.150%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -11.53%E -0.678%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -1.13%E -0.150%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -16.73%E -1.05%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -4.42%E -0.610%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.87%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV -27.14%E -1.94%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -4.42%E -0.610%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.51%EV -2.06%E -1.72%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.68%EV -11.53%E -0.678%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03%EV -3.70%E -3.13%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -6.33%E -0.351%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 20:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.65%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.12%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.65%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.12%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.65%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.12%E -0.059%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.42%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV -6.33%E -0.351%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -11.53%E -0.678%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -6.15%E -5.34%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -11.53%E -0.678%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -9.41%E -8.48%K -85.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -32.35%E -2.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.72%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.80%EV -9.41%E -8.48%K -85.54%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.73%E -1.05%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.59%EV -12.99%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -3.70%E -3.13%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -21.94%E -1.46%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.51%E -3.86%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -21.94%E -1.46%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.51%E -3.86%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -21.94%E -1.46%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.51%E -3.86%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -21.94%E -1.46%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.91%EV -6.96%E -6.11%K -49.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -21.94%E -1.46%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-11 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.33%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -42.75%E -3.89%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.62%EV -14.31%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.61%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -32.35%E -2.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.58%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.61%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -32.35%E -2.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.58%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.61%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -32.35%E -2.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.58%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.61%EV -7.78%E -6.88%K -59.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -32.35%E -2.49%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -19.58%E -3.21%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%EV -4.51%E -3.86%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.56%EV -14.13%E -0.856%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -24.20%E -4.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.89% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.35% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.81% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.20% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.69% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.69% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |