L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Barracas Central v Vasco da Gama
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barracas Central (Local)
Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.45%40.89%40.76%49.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.212.202.3853.19%45.33%45.45%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV +19.36%
Avantage +4.67%
Kelly +6.15%
Croissance +1.19%
avec la cote maximale 4.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.20%28.59%28.76%29.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.334.1533.33%30.17%30.08%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.561%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.79%30.52%30.47%31.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.873.073.103.3034.84%32.59%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.01%EV -23.36%E -12.43%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV +19.36%E +4.67%K +6.15%G +1.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.35%EV -8.28%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV +3.55%E +0.985%K +1.36%G +0.048% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.56%EV +0.561%E +0.170%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.5% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -11.13%E -5.11%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV +0.669%E +0.191%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -11.13%E -5.11%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV +0.669%E +0.191%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -11.13%E -5.11%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV +0.669%E +0.191%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -11.13%E -5.11%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV +0.669%E +0.191%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.49%E -0.777%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.59%EV -10.32%E -4.69%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -13.58%E -6.41%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.82%EV -2.98%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.91%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.27%EV -2.18%E -0.680%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -14.39%E -6.85%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -14.39%E -6.85%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -14.39%E -6.85%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.95%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 21:56 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.24%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.94%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.67%EV -12.54%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -14.39%E -6.85%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-07 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.32%E -4.69%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.32%E -4.69%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 22:01 |