L’École des cotesFrançais
Barracas Central v Audax Italiano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barracas Central (Local)
Prévision 50.53%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.99%50.45%50.54%51.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.9257.14%54.63%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Audax Italiano (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.45%4.66cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -0.988%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%21.46%21.31%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.264.284.5025.64%23.48%23.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.02%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -0.774%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%28.08%28.15%28.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.44%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.63%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -3.46%E -0.768%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 08:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.46%E -0.768%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 08:45 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -6.68%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -6.68%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 08:09 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -6.68%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -6.68%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.51%E -2.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.75%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.52%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.52%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.82%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.08%EV -4.96%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.77%EV -3.67%E -0.818%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 10:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.53%E -4.12%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -16.33%E -4.19%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-24 00:03 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.05%E -5.03%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.89%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -11.07%E -6.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -15.26%E -3.86%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.21%EV -11.58%E -6.62%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -16.33%E -4.19%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62% | 16.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.68% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.68% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 36.65% | 167.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.68% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.68% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 36.65% | 167.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |