La scuola delle quote

Audax Italiano v Barracas Central

Inizio: 2026-05-19 22:00 UTC

Finale: Audax Italiano 2–0 Barracas Central

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Audax Italiano (Casa)

Previsione 40.76%2.45quota equa
EV +5.97%
Vantaggio +2.30%
Kelly +3.73%
Crescita +0.223%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.68%40.76%40.71%41.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.332.302.6047.62%42.85%43.48%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barracas Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.92%3.46quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -0.933%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.36%28.83%29.08%31.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.083.103.3534.72%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.33%3.30quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -0.826%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.31%30.41%30.21%31.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.023.023.2135.71%33.14%33.06%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%EV +5.97%E +2.30%K +3.73%G +0.223%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%EV -2.96%E -0.924%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV +1.08%E +0.434%K +0.727%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -14.69%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV +1.08%E +0.434%K +0.727%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -14.69%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV +1.08%E +0.434%K +0.727%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -14.69%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV +1.08%E +0.434%K +0.727%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -14.69%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -2.18%E -0.910%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -16.72%E -5.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -2.18%E -0.910%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -16.72%E -5.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -2.18%E -0.910%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -16.72%E -5.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -2.18%E -0.910%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -16.72%E -5.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:50
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%EV -3.00%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.13%E -0.933%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.15%EV -4.17%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 21:50
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -2.65%E -0.826%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 21:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.02%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 21:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.91%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 21:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 21:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -7.08%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.91%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 21:50
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 21:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 21:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 21:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 21:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.66%E -4.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 21:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.14%E -5.57%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 21:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -15.09%E -5.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-19 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.41%E -6.86%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -11.80%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-19 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-05-19 21:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-19 21:50