The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

América de Cali v Macará

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 00:30 UTC

Final: América de Cali 0–0 Macará

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

América de Cali (Local)

Prediction 57.22%1.75fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%56.96%57.22%58.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.631.621.7263.29%61.36%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Macará (Visit)

Prediction 15.55%6.43fair odd
EV -0.502%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.83%15.80%15.55%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.645.676.4020.00%17.72%17.62%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -0.609%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%27.24%27.23%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.403.6530.30%29.22%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América de Cali (Local): 57.22%; Macará (Visit): 15.55%; Draw: 27.23%. For Macará (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.40, with an expected value of -0.502%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.58%E -0.916%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%EV -0.609%E -0.167%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.93%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.49%E -2.64%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.33%E -0.939%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 02:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.27%E -4.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 11:00
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.51%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -0.502%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.66%EV -6.60%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.48%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.33%E -0.939%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 00:19
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 00:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 00:19
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -16.05%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 00:19
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.61%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 00:19
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.19%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.01%EV -1.75%E -0.276%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.80%EV -3.60%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 00:19
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.79%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 00:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -22.27%E -4.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 03:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.94%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.72%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -22.27%E -4.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.94%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.94%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.94%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.94%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.94%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.94%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.94%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.94%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.94%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.94%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 00:19
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -18.38%E -3.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 00:20
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -8.44%E -5.28%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -22.27%E -4.45%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-28 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.91%EV -9.59%E -6.07%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.32%EV -20.71%E -4.06%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.24%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-29 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.24%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-29 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.24%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-29 00:19
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-05-29 00:20