La scuola delle quote

América de Cali v CA Tigre BA

Inizio: 2026-05-20 02:00 UTC

Finale: América de Cali 1–1 CA Tigre BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América de Cali (Casa)

Previsione 43.34%2.31quota equa
EV -4.65%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -3.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.62%43.71%43.34%46.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.082.052.2051.81%48.18%48.78%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Tigre BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.59%3.91quota equa
EV +4.92%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescita +0.078%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.47%25.23%25.59%27.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.693.634.1030.77%27.07%27.59%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.07%3.22quota equa
EV +2.53%
Vantaggio +0.766%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.22%31.06%31.07%31.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.033.053.3034.72%32.97%32.79%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.78%EV -9.85%E -4.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +4.92%E +1.20%K +1.59%G +0.078%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV +2.53%E +0.766%K +1.10%G +0.028%2.8%2026-05-19 19:50
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.47%EV +3.64%E +0.898%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -2.13%E -0.677%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +1.08%E +0.273%K +0.365%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -0.580%E -0.181%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +1.08%E +0.273%K +0.365%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -0.580%E -0.181%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +1.08%E +0.273%K +0.365%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -0.580%E -0.181%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 19:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +1.08%E +0.273%K +0.365%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -0.580%E -0.181%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 19:50
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 19:50
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 19:50
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.66%EV -5.51%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -3.53%E -0.936%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.93%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 22:59
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.24%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.98%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 21:30
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 21:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 21:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.51%E -2.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-19 21:40
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-19 22:58
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -16.83%E -5.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-19 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%1.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.24%1.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.0%2026-05-19 22:59