L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alianza Atlético v Macará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alianza Atlético (Local)
Prévision 39.80%2.51cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.63%39.67%39.81%41.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.332.4046.51%43.26%42.92%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Macará (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.88%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.60%28.12%27.82%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.333.5132.26%30.27%30.08%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.32%3.09cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.692%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%32.21%32.37%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.46%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -2.42%E -0.692%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -1.42%E -0.465%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.88%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -3.82%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.28%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.27%EV -6.07%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.07%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.66%EV -5.94%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -7.27%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.82%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.27%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.46%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 01:25 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.45%E -4.65%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -12.44%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.44%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.00%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.12%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -14.43%E -6.71%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.79%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.50%E -3.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 01:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 01:54 |