赔率学院

Alianza Atlético v CA Tigre BA

开赛时间： 2026-04-08 02:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Alianza Atlético (主队)

预测 18.69%5.35公平赔率
EV +0.731%
优势 +0.136%
Kelly +0.167%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.39

博彩公司预测分布
17.59%18.74%18.72%20.06%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.704.844.805.3921.28%20.67%20.83%18.55%MIN均值中位数MAX

CA Tigre BA (客队)

预测 51.41%1.95公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.36%51.36%52.39%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.691.791.771.9059.17%55.88%56.50%52.63%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.90%3.34公平赔率
EV +0.171%
优势 +0.051%
Kelly +0.073%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
28.96%29.90%29.92%30.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.19%32.26%29.85%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle5.39I 18.55%NM 17.59%EV +0.731%E +0.136%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.39%EV -6.95%E -3.84%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.01%EV -5.51%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:45
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.49%EV -2.84%E -1.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV +0.171%E +0.051%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 01:55
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.36%EV -5.92%E -3.24%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 01:39
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -7.46%E -4.15%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 01:50
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 01:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 01:40
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -5.41%E -2.94%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 01:55
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.92%E -3.24%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 01:55
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.92%E -3.24%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 01:55
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -5.92%E -3.24%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 01:55
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.34%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 01:49
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.34%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 01:50
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.34%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 01:50
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.34%EV -10.03%E -5.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 01:50
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -11.06%E -6.39%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 01:50
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.16%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:15
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -11.06%E -6.39%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 01:40
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 01:50
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.31%EV -7.98%E -4.46%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 01:54
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -9.01%E -5.09%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -9.01%E -5.09%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 01:54
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -9.01%E -5.09%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 01:55
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.48%EV -13.12%E -7.76%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 01:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-08 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-04-08 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-04-08 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%1.8%2026-04-08 01:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.8%2026-04-08 01:55