La scuola delle quote

Alianza Atlético v América de Cali

Inizio: 2026-05-07 02:00 UTC

Finale: Alianza Atlético 0–2 América de Cali

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alianza Atlético (Casa)

Previsione 31.23%3.20quota equa
EV +12.42%
Vantaggio +3.45%
Kelly +4.78%
Crescita +0.594%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.88%30.92%31.23%31.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.033.6035.71%31.81%33.00%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América de Cali (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.30%2.61quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.66%38.48%38.30%42.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.312.372.4947.17%43.26%42.19%40.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.47%3.28quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -0.775%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.08%30.60%30.47%31.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.003.003.2034.72%33.29%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV +12.42%E +3.45%K +4.78%G +0.594%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -12.68%E -5.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 01:35
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 01:35
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 01:28
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 01:28
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 01:28
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:35
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:28
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:28
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 01:28
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -0.069%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 01:35
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 01:55
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 01:51
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.46%EV -5.38%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 01:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 01:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 01:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -9.24%E -3.90%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 01:55
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-07 01:55
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.94%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.11%EV -7.32%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -9.19%E -3.08%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 01:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 01:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 01:45
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 01:45
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-07 01:55
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.37%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.24%E -3.90%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 01:45
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.83%E -6.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-07 01:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-07 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-07 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-07 01:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-05-07 01:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-07 01:55