L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alianza Atlético v América de Cali
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alianza Atlético (Local)
Prévision 31.23%3.20cote équitable
EV +12.42%
Avantage +3.45%
Kelly +4.78%
Croissance +0.594%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%30.92%31.23%31.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.033.6035.71%31.81%33.00%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
América de Cali (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.30%2.61cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%38.48%38.30%42.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.312.372.4947.17%43.26%42.19%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.775%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%30.60%30.47%31.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.003.003.2034.72%33.29%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV +12.42%E +3.45%K +4.78%G +0.594% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -12.68%E -5.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV -2.48%E -0.775%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -15.75%E -7.16%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV +4.62%E +1.38%K +1.96%G +0.091% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -18.81%E -8.87%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 01:28 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -0.069%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 01:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 01:51 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.46%EV -5.38%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 01:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -9.24%E -3.90%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.94%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.11%EV -7.32%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -9.19%E -3.08%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -12.23%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.37%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.24%E -3.90%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-07 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.83%E -6.15%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-07 01:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 01:55 |