Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 2.67
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 30.03%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 37.90%; Draw: 32.07%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.95%EV -10.81%E -3.64%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.54%EV +1.20%E +0.448%K +0.716%G +0.009% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -6.36%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.28%EV +0.438%E +0.165%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.70%EV -5.72%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.29%EV -4.51%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -2.59%E -1.01%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.11%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -0.902%E -0.273%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.35%E -1.31%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -0.902%E -0.273%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.13%EV -3.35%E -1.31%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.41%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.59%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.36%EV -4.11%E -1.62%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -5.40%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV -4.81%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.06%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.01%EV -4.81%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.06%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.40%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.40%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.14%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -7.90%E -3.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -7.90%E -3.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.40%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 00:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.40%E -0.739%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -0.902%E -0.273%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -5.40%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.62%EV -7.96%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -10.93%E -4.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.21%E -3.65%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -14.72%E -6.54%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.74% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |