Language:English
Universidad Católica (CHI) v Boca Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)
Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%26.50%26.64%27.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.503.9530.77%28.06%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 42.67%2.34fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.95%42.78%42.64%44.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.83%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.71%3.26fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.787%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%30.72%30.72%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.49%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local): 26.62%; Boca Juniors (Visit): 42.67%; Draw: 30.71%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%EV +5.15%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.090% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.34%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-08 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%EV +5.15%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.090% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.34%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-08 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV +2.49%E +0.646%K +0.873%G +0.022% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.86%EV -9.11%E -4.28%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -10.02%E -3.42%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -9.54%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -9.54%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -9.54%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -9.54%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -9.54%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +1.16%E +0.304%K +0.413%G +0.005% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.42%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.42%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -1.51%E -0.407%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.60%EV -2.30%E -0.628%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.50%EV -7.83%E -3.63%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.90%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.38%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.28%EV -6.03%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -1.73%E -0.541%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -7.40%E -3.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-08 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.16%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.98%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.16%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.98%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.16%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -6.98%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.26%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.39%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -14.66%E -7.33%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -17.09%E -6.33%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-07 21:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.39%EV -11.36%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.45%EV -11.67%E -5.64%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.16%EV -13.40%E -4.75%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-07 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.06% | 115.5% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.06% | 115.5% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.06% | 115.5% | 2026-04-08 00:25 |