Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 3.41
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Cristal (Local): 40.45%; Junior FC (Visit): 31.05%; Draw: 28.50%. For Junior FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -2.20%E -0.699%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -2.20%E -0.699%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -2.82%E -0.902%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 20:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -4.94%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.33%EV -5.35%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.54%EV -4.06%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.13%EV -7.65%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -6.16%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -6.16%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -6.16%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -6.16%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -6.16%E -2.65%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.31%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.98%EV -5.00%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.80%EV -2.80%E -0.822%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.04%EV -5.62%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.04%EV -5.62%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.04%EV -5.62%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 12:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.86%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 02:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.58%E -3.68%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 16:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.62%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -6.51%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.48%E -2.51%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.48%E -2.51%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -14.62%E -5.32%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -20.19%E -7.21%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.80%E -4.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.80%E -4.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.80%E -4.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.41%E -2.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.96%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.07%E -4.67%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -15.06%E -7.17%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -14.62%E -5.32%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -15.91%E -5.39%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -15.06%E -7.17%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -16.17%E -5.99%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 31.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |