Language:English
Sporting Cristal v 2 de Mayo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Prediction 63.23%1.58fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.11%63.17%63.28%64.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5471.43%68.16%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
2 de Mayo (Visit)
Prediction 14.32%6.98fair odd
EV +7.39%
Edge +0.986%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.37%14.31%14.38%15.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.456.507.5017.24%15.50%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV +0.131%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.76%22.52%22.34%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.4626.32%24.42%24.39%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Cristal (Local): 63.23%; 2 de Mayo (Visit): 14.32%; Draw: 22.45%. For 2 de Mayo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +7.39%E +0.986%K +1.14%G +0.084% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.32%E -5.74%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.232%E +0.033%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.71%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.48%E -8.20%K -28.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV +0.232%E +0.033%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.69%E -3.86%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 13.86%EV -2.35%E -0.344%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.46%EV -6.64%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -6.83%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.46%EV -6.64%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -6.83%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.46%EV -6.64%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -6.83%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 21:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -3.26%E -2.13%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -5.71%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.71%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.15%E -3.44%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.43%EV -7.68%E -5.26%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.83%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.93%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.11%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -8.36%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -11.32%E -2.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.11%EV -5.79%E -3.88%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -8.36%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -11.32%E -2.87%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.25%EV -9.58%E -6.70%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.13%EV -8.36%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.01%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.23%EV -8.79%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.76%EV +0.131%E +0.029%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.60%EV -4.52%E -3.00%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 14.84%EV -8.79%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.56%EV -5.93%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -10.51%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.58%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.51%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.95%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.51%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.95%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -14.09%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.44%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-25 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -14.09%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.44%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-25 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -14.09%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.44%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-25 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -14.09%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.44%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-25 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -11.48%E -8.20%K -28.69%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -16.95%E -2.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -10.20%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.