Language:English
Rosario Central v Corinthians-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 41.60%2.40fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.450%
Kelly +0.765%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.31%41.59%41.51%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4347.62%44.66%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corinthians-SP (Visit)
Prediction 24.07%4.15fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.31%24.07%24.22%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.804.2629.41%26.06%26.32%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.34%34.26%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.682.8339.22%37.30%37.31%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 41.60%; Corinthians-SP (Visit): 24.07%; Draw: 34.32%. For Corinthians-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%EV -7.64%E -3.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.32%EV +2.55%E +0.599%K +0.783%G +0.020% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -6.29%E -2.31%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV +2.31%E +0.544%K +0.711%G +0.016% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%EV -9.31%E -4.27%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV +1.11%E +0.264%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.66%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.30%E -0.317%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -7.23%E -3.24%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -2.50%E -0.618%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.09%EV -8.70%E -3.27%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -12.64%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -9.73%E -3.70%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -12.64%E -6.02%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -3.71%E -0.927%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.71%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -3.95%E -0.989%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -8.01%E -2.99%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 00:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.49%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.25%EV -4.43%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.55%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.91%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.62%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.91%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.62%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.91%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.62%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -4.91%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 00:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.11%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.88%EV +1.09%E +0.450%K +0.765%G +0.008% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.61%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.56%E -2.45%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.52%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.73%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.73%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.73%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.93%E -2.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.01%E -2.99%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.15%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -10.93%E -2.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.01%E -2.99%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.13%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.13%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -2.23%E -0.951%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.13%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -3.07%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.34%E -3.70%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -9.73%E -3.70%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.48%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -13.34%E -3.70%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -14.54%E -4.10%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -9.73%E -3.70%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -10.56%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -14.54%E -4.10%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-14 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -4.31%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -15.74%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.76%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -18.15%E -5.34%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -18.15%E -5.34%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -6.40%E -2.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -18.15%E -5.34%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
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