The School of Odds

Rosario Central v Corinthians-SP

2026-08-14 00:30 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Rosario Central (Local)

Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1546.58%Mean
2.1347.06%Median
2.3043.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.99%2.440Min
43.23%2.313Max
41.93%2.385Mean
41.88%2.388Median
41.93%2.385IQM
41.92%2.385Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 41.93%

EV -3.56%Edge -1.55%Kelly -2.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Corinthians-SP (Visit)

Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.2730.56%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.53%3.917Min
28.99%3.450Max
28.60%3.497Mean
28.61%3.495Median
28.60%3.497IQM
28.60%3.497Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.60%

EV +0.090%Edge +0.026%Kelly +0.036%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.8035.71%Min
3.0432.89%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.2530.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.60%3.496Min
31.91%3.133Max
29.47%3.393Mean
29.51%3.389Median
29.47%3.393IQM
29.48%3.393Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 29.47%

EV -4.21%Edge -1.30%Kelly -1.87%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRosario Central (Local)Corinthians-SP (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coral2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV +0.090% E +0.026% K +0.036% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -17.47% E -6.24% K -9.71% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-15 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV +0.090% E +0.026% K +0.036% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -17.47% E -6.24% K -9.71% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-15 07:40
Neds2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV +0.090% E +0.026% K +0.036% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -17.47% E -6.24% K -9.71% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-15 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV +0.090% E +0.026% K +0.036% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -17.47% E -6.24% K -9.71% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-15 07:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -7.76% E -3.53% K -6.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -2.77% E -0.815% K -1.15% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -5.68% E -1.78% K -2.58% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 22:25
1xBet2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.56% E -1.55% K -2.74% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.68%EV -4.20% E -1.25% K -1.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.56%EV -4.21% E -1.30% K -1.87% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 06:39
SportsBet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.23%EV -9.85% E -4.58% K -8.57% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.17%EV -5.63% E -1.71% K -2.45% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV -4.21% E -1.30% K -1.87% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 12:39
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 41.81%EV -6.50% E -2.91% K -5.28% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.69%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.16I 31.65% NM 29.50%EV -6.86% E -2.17% K -3.18% G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 06:28
NordicBet2.22I 45.05% NM 41.88%EV -6.92% E -3.12% K -5.67% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.61%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.51%EV -7.16% E -2.27% K -3.33% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05% NM 41.88%EV -6.92% E -3.12% K -5.67% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.61%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.51%EV -7.16% E -2.27% K -3.33% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:50
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.10%EV -7.76% E -3.53% K -6.46% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.50%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.40%EV -7.16% E -2.27% K -3.33% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -8.63% E -2.78% K -4.11% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 12:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -11.95% E -5.69% K -10.86% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -7.06% E -2.17% K -3.14% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -8.63% E -2.78% K -4.11% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 12:38
Suprabets2.24I 44.64% NM 40.99%EV -6.08% E -2.71% K -4.90% G +0.000%3.21I 31.15% NM 28.60%EV -8.20% E -2.56% K -3.71% G +0.000%3.02I 33.11% NM 30.40%EV -10.99% E -3.64% K -5.44% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 13:47
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87% NM 42.14%EV -8.59% E -3.94% K -7.28% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.70%EV -8.49% E -2.65% K -3.86% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.16%EV -7.16% E -2.27% K -3.33% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45% NM 41.31%EV -7.76% E -3.53% K -6.46% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.40%EV -8.49% E -2.65% K -3.86% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -11.58% E -3.86% K -5.79% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 17:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 42.25%EV -14.05% E -6.85% K -13.38% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.40%EV -12.78% E -4.19% K -6.23% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 29.36%EV -13.05% E -4.42% K -6.69% G +0.000%15.5%2026-06-27 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26% NM 42.40%EV -14.88% E -7.33% K -14.45% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.22%EV -12.78% E -4.19% K -6.23% G +0.000%2.93I 34.13% NM 29.38%EV -13.64% E -4.66% K -7.07% G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-27 00:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 42.25%EV -14.05% E -6.85% K -13.38% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.87%EV -14.21% E -4.74% K -7.10% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.87%EV -11.58% E -3.86% K -5.79% G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-27 00:19
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 42.03%EV -16.14% E -8.07% K -16.14% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 28.99%EV -17.07% E -5.89% K -8.98% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 28.99%EV -14.53% E -5.01% K -7.65% G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-27 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerRosario Central (Local)Corinthians-SP (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%2.98I 33.56%2.90I 34.48%16.6%2026-06-27 00:30