The School of Odds

Rosario Central v Corinthians-SP

2026-08-12 00:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prediction 42.71%2.34fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.17%42.71%42.71%42.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.162.172.182.1846%46%46%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Corinthians-SP (Visit)

Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.65%28.65%28.65%28.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.223.253.2532%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.65%28.65%28.65%28.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.223.253.2532%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.