Rosario Central v Corinthians-SP

2026-08-12 00:00 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Rosario Central (Local)

Odds

2.1646.30%Min

2.1845.96%Mean

2.1845.87%Median

2.1845.87%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.17%2.371Min

42.71%2.342Max

42.71%2.342Mean

42.71%2.342Median

42.71%2.342IQM

42.71%2.342Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.18 under the IQM model: 42.71%

EV -6.90%Edge -3.16%Kelly -5.85%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Corinthians-SP (Visit)

Odds

3.1531.75%Min

3.2330.96%Mean

3.2530.77%Median

3.2530.77%Max

Consensus probabilities

28.65%3.491Min

28.92%3.458Max

28.65%3.491Mean

28.65%3.491Median

28.65%3.491IQM

28.65%3.491Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 28.65%

EV -6.90%Edge -2.12%Kelly -3.07%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.1531.75%Min

3.2330.96%Mean

3.2530.77%Median

3.2530.77%Max

Consensus probabilities

28.65%3.491Min

28.92%3.458Max

28.65%3.491Mean

28.65%3.491Median

28.65%3.491IQM

28.65%3.491Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 28.65%

EV -6.90%Edge -2.12%Kelly -3.07%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Rosario Central (Local) ▼	Corinthians-SP (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betsson	2.58I 38.76% NM 36.28%EV +10.18% E +3.95% K +6.45% G +0.656%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.80%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31% NM 34.92%EV -23.23% E -8.67% K -13.83% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-04 16:50
NordicBet	2.58I 38.76% NM 36.28%EV +10.18% E +3.95% K +6.45% G +0.656%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.80%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31% NM 34.92%EV -23.23% E -8.67% K -13.83% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-04 16:59
PlayUp	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.46%EV +6.77% E +2.71% K +4.51% G +0.305%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.48%EV -8.33% E -2.60% K -3.79% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.06%EV -25.52% E -9.82% K -15.95% G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-06-04 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.38I 42.02% NM 37.43%EV +1.64% E +0.690% K +1.19% G +0.020%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.20%EV -2.60% E -0.765% K -1.08% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.36%EV -29.82% E -12.17% K -20.56% G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-05-30 19:09
Neds	2.38I 42.02% NM 37.43%EV +1.64% E +0.690% K +1.19% G +0.020%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.20%EV -2.60% E -0.765% K -1.08% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.36%EV -29.82% E -12.17% K -20.56% G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-05-30 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.37I 42.19% NM 37.53%EV +1.22% E +0.513% K +0.887% G +0.011%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.16%EV -2.60% E -0.765% K -1.08% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.31%EV -29.82% E -12.17% K -20.56% G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-05-30 19:10
Coral	2.37I 42.19% NM 37.53%EV +1.22% E +0.513% K +0.887% G +0.011%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.16%EV -2.60% E -0.765% K -1.08% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 36.31%EV -29.82% E -12.17% K -20.56% G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-05-30 19:20
Betr (AU)	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV +0.361% E +0.154% K +0.268% G +0.001%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -8.33% E -2.60% K -3.79% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -14.06% E -4.69% K -7.03% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-04 11:29
1xBet	2.31I 43.29% NM 41.58%EV -1.35% E -0.583% K -1.03% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 28.67%EV -4.03% E -1.20% K -1.72% G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96% NM 29.74%EV -7.47% E -2.31% K -3.35% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-05 11:19
SportsBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.41%EV -1.77% E -0.771% K -1.36% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.98%EV -14.06% E -4.69% K -7.03% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-04 11:29
Marathon Bet	2.24I 44.64% NM 41.62%EV -4.34% E -1.94% K -3.50% G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86% NM 28.78%EV -7.19% E -2.22% K -3.21% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.60%EV -9.76% E -3.10% K -4.54% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-06-09 09:40
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.93%EV -6.04% E -2.75% K -5.04% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.05%EV -11.20% E -3.61% K -5.33% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.02%EV -14.06% E -4.69% K -7.03% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-04 11:26
Unibet	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.71%EV -6.90% E -3.16% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.65%EV -6.90% E -2.12% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-30 15:00
Virgin Bet	2.16I 46.30% NM 42.17%EV -7.75% E -3.59% K -6.68% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.92%EV -9.76% E -3.10% K -4.54% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.92%EV -9.76% E -3.10% K -4.54% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet	2.16I 46.30% NM 42.17%EV -7.75% E -3.59% K -6.68% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.92%EV -9.76% E -3.10% K -4.54% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.92%EV -9.76% E -3.10% K -4.54% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-05-30 15:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62% NM 38.92%EV -10.32% E -4.91% K -9.38% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 28.38%EV -17.50% E -6.08% K -9.31% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 32.70%EV -28.38% E -11.35% K -18.92% G +0.000%	22.3%	2026-06-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)	2.05I 48.78% NM 42.44%EV -12.45% E -6.07% K -11.86% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 29.49%EV -15.49% E -5.25% K -7.95% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.07%EV -11.20% E -3.61% K -5.33% G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-05-30 14:59
Betclic (FR)	2.00I 50.00% NM 43.06%EV -14.59% E -7.29% K -14.59% G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11% NM 28.52%EV -13.49% E -4.47% K -6.68% G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00% NM 28.42%EV -13.20% E -4.36% K -6.50% G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)	2.00I 50.00% NM 43.06%EV -14.59% E -7.29% K -14.59% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.71%EV -14.06% E -4.69% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 28.24%EV -12.63% E -4.14% K -6.16% G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-05-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)	1.98I 50.51% NM 42.47%EV -15.44% E -7.80% K -15.76% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 29.50%EV -18.36% E -6.44% K -9.92% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.03%EV -14.06% E -4.69% K -7.03% G +0.000%	18.9%	2026-05-30 15:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth