A Escola das Odds

Platense v Peñarol Montevideo

Início: 2026-05-07 22:00 UTC

Final: Platense 1–1 Peñarol Montevideo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Platense (Local)

Previsão 43.56%2.30odd justa
EV +0.195%
Vantagem +0.085%
Kelly +0.150%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.21%43.49%43.58%45.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.61%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Peñarol Montevideo (Visitante)

Previsão 23.64%4.23odd justa
EV +4.25%
Vantagem +0.964%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.57%23.75%23.58%25.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.904.4127.78%25.70%25.64%22.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.80%3.05odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.536%
Kelly -0.803%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.74%32.77%32.84%33.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.832.863.0040.00%35.33%34.97%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.29%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.57%EV +4.25%E +0.964%K +1.25%G +0.053%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.14%EV -5.87%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.715%E -0.170%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:45
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.79%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 21:35
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.79%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 21:35
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -1.90%E -0.457%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:54
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -2.61%E -0.633%K -0.835%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.56%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:45
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.43%EV -2.84%E -0.692%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 21:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -3.08%E -0.751%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 21:49
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 21:34
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -6.53%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:44
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 21:35
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 21:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 21:50
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -7.65%E -3.61%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 21:54
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44%EV +0.195%E +0.085%K +0.150%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -1.61%E -0.536%K -0.803%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 21:44
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44%EV +0.195%E +0.085%K +0.150%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%EV -1.61%E -0.536%K -0.803%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 21:45
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 21:44
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.58%EV -8.08%E -3.83%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 21:44
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 21:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 21:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 21:54
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.82%E -4.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -8.28%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69%EV -8.82%E -3.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 21:46
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 21:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.52%E -4.06%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.11%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.67%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-07 21:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 21:44
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 21:45
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -10.70%E -5.22%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -6.53%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-07 21:45
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.62%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 21:45
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:45
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:44
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-07 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.45%EV -12.87%E -6.44%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -18.01%E -7.20%K -12.00%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-05-07 21:50
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%1.2%2026-05-07 21:50