Language:English
Platense v Corinthians-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +0.973%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%29.98%30.21%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.4034.48%32.75%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corinthians-SP (Visit)
Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.38%39.92%39.54%41.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.282.302.4450.00%43.77%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%30.10%30.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.053.2037.04%33.00%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 30.10%; Corinthians-SP (Visit): 39.74%; Draw: 30.16%. For Platense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV +2.33%E +0.687%K +0.973%G +0.023% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.99%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 07:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -2.18%E -0.671%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -10.58%E -4.70%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 07:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.03%E -1.24%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.57%E -5.71%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -7.40%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.39%E -4.12%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.39%E -4.12%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -16.54%E -7.88%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-23 07:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.69%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.54%EV -20.52%E -10.26%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.57%E -6.88%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-20 12:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.83%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -3.83%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -12.11%E -4.15%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.78%EV -15.75%E -7.43%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -11.93%E -4.09%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-21 12:26 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -16.54%E -7.88%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-20 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.