The School of OddsMirassol v Independiente del Valle
Head to Head
Option 1: Mirassol (Local)
Odds
1.9651.02%Min
1.9950.23%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0050.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.13%2.168Min
46.65%2.144Max
46.65%2.144Mean
46.65%2.144Median
46.65%2.144IQM
46.65%2.144Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 46.65%
EV -6.71%Edge -3.35%Kelly -6.71%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Independiente del Valle (Visit)
Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.5628.10%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.6027.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.91%3.859Min
26.34%3.797Max
25.91%3.859Mean
25.91%3.859Median
25.91%3.859IQM
25.91%3.859Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 25.91%
EV -6.71%Edge -1.86%Kelly -2.58%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.3729.65%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.44%3.644Min
27.54%3.632Max
27.44%3.644Mean
27.44%3.644Median
27.44%3.644IQM
27.44%3.644Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 27.44%
EV -6.71%Edge -1.97%Kelly -2.79%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Mirassol (Local) ▼ | Independiente del Valle (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.65%EV -6.71% E -3.35% K -6.71% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.91%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.71% E -1.97% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76% NM 46.13%EV -8.11% E -4.12% K -8.36% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.34%EV -10.59% E -3.07% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.54%EV -9.45% E -2.86% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76% NM 46.13%EV -8.11% E -4.12% K -8.36% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.34%EV -10.59% E -3.07% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.54%EV -9.45% E -2.86% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 46.25%EV -8.57% E -4.37% K -8.93% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.28%EV -10.59% E -3.07% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.47%EV -9.45% E -2.86% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth