Mirassol v Independiente del Valle

2026-08-11 13:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

47%

26%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd

EV -6.71%

Edge -3.35%

Kelly -6.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.13%46.65%46.65%46.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.961.992.002.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Independiente del Valle (Visit)

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd

EV -6.71%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -2.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.91%25.91%25.91%26.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.453.563.603.6029%28%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd

EV -6.71%

Edge -1.97%

Kelly -2.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.44%27.44%27.44%27.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.303.373.403.4030%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-30 15:00
Virgin Bet	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet	1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -8.57%E -4.37%K -8.93%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -10.59%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.45%E -2.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-05-30 15:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.