Language:English
Junior FC v Sporting Cristal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Junior FC (Local)
Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.92%50.04%49.87%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.851.9258.82%54.40%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Cristal (Visit)
Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV +13.16%
Edge +2.69%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.444%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.77%22.78%23.08%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.204.104.9027.03%23.80%24.39%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.388%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.18%27.05%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.6531.25%29.31%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Junior FC (Local): 49.79%; Sporting Cristal (Visit): 23.09%; Draw: 27.12%. For Sporting Cristal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.47%EV -9.38%E -5.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV +13.16%E +2.69%K +3.37%G +0.444% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -1.03%E -0.282%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.47%EV -9.38%E -5.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV +13.16%E +2.69%K +3.37%G +0.444% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%EV -1.03%E -0.282%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV +9.69%E +2.04%K +2.58%G +0.251% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV +9.69%E +2.04%K +2.58%G +0.251% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV +9.69%E +2.04%K +2.58%G +0.251% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.58%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV +9.69%E +2.04%K +2.58%G +0.251% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV +8.54%E +1.82%K +2.31%G +0.197% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -2.38%E -0.662%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.87%E -7.35%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +8.54%E +1.82%K +2.31%G +0.197% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -15.35%E -9.03%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +6.23%E +1.35%K +1.73%G +0.108% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -15.35%E -9.03%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +6.23%E +1.35%K +1.73%G +0.108% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -15.35%E -9.03%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +6.23%E +1.35%K +1.73%G +0.108% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +3.92%E +0.871%K +1.12%G +0.044% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +3.92%E +0.871%K +1.12%G +0.044% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.43%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.77%E +0.621%K +0.801%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -6.89%E -3.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV +0.456%E +0.105%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -0.006%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.32%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -1.16%E -0.271%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.15%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -1.85%E -0.436%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.82%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 01:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.01%E -0.716%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 01:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.38%E -5.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.01%E -0.716%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.16%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -7.27%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -4.40%E -2.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -6.93%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.88%E -4.85%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-21 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -6.39%E -3.40%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.34%EV -8.38%E -4.56%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.40%EV -10.40%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.26%EV -9.71%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 01:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -4.90%E -2.56%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-21 01:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -9.88%E -5.46%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.39%E -3.97%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -7.89%E -4.26%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -9.38%E -5.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -14.55%E -3.93%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-21 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 01:50 |