Language:English
Junior FC v Cerro Porteño
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Junior FC (Local)
Prediction 46.19%2.16fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.89%46.51%46.22%49.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.982.0754.05%50.73%50.63%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cerro Porteño (Visit)
Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV +7.80%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.181%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%24.47%24.76%25.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.853.754.3528.99%25.97%26.67%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.03%3.45fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%29.02%29.02%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.35%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Junior FC (Local): 46.19%; Cerro Porteño (Visit): 24.78%; Draw: 29.03%. For Cerro Porteño (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.45%EV +7.80%E +1.79%K +2.33%G +0.181% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.45%EV +7.80%E +1.79%K +2.33%G +0.181% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -3.34%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -3.34%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -10.39%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 01:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +4.08%E +0.972%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 01:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.11%EV +2.10%E +0.509%K +0.672%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -14.08%E -7.57%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV +1.60%E +0.391%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -14.08%E -7.57%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV +1.60%E +0.391%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -14.54%E -7.86%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV +1.60%E +0.391%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.57%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.35%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.35%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -3.60%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.80%EV -3.05%E -0.914%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.47%EV -6.23%E -3.07%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.76%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.53%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.38%EV -7.32%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -1.89%E -0.560%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.44%E -3.03%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.67%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.12%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.02%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.27%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.73%E -6.69%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-08 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -14.51%E -4.20%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.47%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 01:55 |