L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Independiente Santa Fe v Peñarol Montevideo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prévision 39.65%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.867%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.578%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.61%39.74%39.09%42.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.252.5046.51%44.12%44.44%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Peñarol Montevideo (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.18%3.31cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.510%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.44%30.08%30.64%31.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.043.003.3737.04%32.88%33.33%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.16%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%30.18%30.27%32.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.003.053.2138.02%33.38%32.79%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.68%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +1.72%E +0.510%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.87%EV -3.18%E -0.989%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -11.18%E -4.99%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -0.999%E -0.305%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.89%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 23:29 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 03:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -4.92%E -1.56%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-20 06:05 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.867%E -0.347%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.43%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 16:31 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -0.867%E -0.347%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 17:12 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 12:30 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -4.83%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-23 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-23 15:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-23 15:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.80%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.45%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-23 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.31%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.34%EV -13.98%E -4.90%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.34%EV -14.03%E -4.92%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-20 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.40%EV -14.58%E -5.15%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.50%EV -14.94%E -5.30%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-20 05:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-20 05:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.61%EV -10.78%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.22%EV -15.49%E -5.53%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -20.67%E -7.86%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-23 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.00%EV -14.75%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -18.51%E -6.85%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-20 05:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.