Language:English
Independiente Santa Fe v Corinthians-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Santa Fe (Local)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%29.29%29.04%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.153.5734.72%31.73%31.75%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corinthians-SP (Visit)
Prediction 37.47%2.67fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.691%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.00%37.36%37.45%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.7043.48%40.17%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.47%2.99fair odd
EV +0.421%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.35%33.51%34.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.803.0040.00%35.97%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Santa Fe (Local): 29.05%; Corinthians-SP (Visit): 37.47%; Draw: 33.47%. For Independiente Santa Fe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV +3.72%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -9.69%E -4.02%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.02%EV -6.61%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.22%E -0.358%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 00:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -3.25%E -0.976%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.45%EV -3.70%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.56%EV -6.74%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.05%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.94%EV -3.60%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.07%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-07 00:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.50%EV -6.69%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.23%EV -5.94%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 00:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.31%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.61%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.68%EV -7.90%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.07%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%EV -8.95%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 00:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.94%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 00:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -5.57%E -2.21%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.94%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV +1.17%E +0.435%K +0.691%G +0.008% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.421%E +0.140%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%EV +1.17%E +0.435%K +0.691%G +0.008% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.421%E +0.140%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.07%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.07%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.82%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.82%E -4.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.19%E -4.72%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.19%E -4.72%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.81%E -6.01%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -16.32%E -6.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-07 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV +0.421%E +0.140%K +0.211%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -1.25%E -0.425%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -14.29%E -4.84%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -2.57%E -0.989%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.32%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.93% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 00:25 |