Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Deportivo La Guaira
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 64.74%1.54fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.14%64.77%64.65%65.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.431.441.5074.63%69.86%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportivo La Guaira (Visit)
Prediction 12.81%7.81fair odd
EV +8.89%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.51%12.74%12.83%14.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.707.237.358.5017.54%13.84%13.61%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.83%22.49%22.52%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.3827.03%24.76%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 64.74%; Deportivo La Guaira (Visit): 12.81%; Draw: 22.45%. For Deportivo La Guaira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.81. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.51%EV +8.89%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.105% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.51%EV +8.89%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.105% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.75%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV +5.69%E +0.689%K +0.784%G +0.045% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -7.43%E -5.19%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +2.48%E +0.311%K +0.355%G +0.009% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.66%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.45%EV -1.36%E -0.177%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -1.65%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.43%E -5.19%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.29%EV -2.00%E -0.261%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.97%EV -3.90%E -0.911%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -8.07%E -5.69%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -9.37%E -6.69%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.54%EV -8.72%E -6.19%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.54%EV -8.72%E -6.19%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.54%EV -8.72%E -6.19%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -3.92%E -0.523%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -5.20%E -0.703%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 03:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -5.20%E -0.703%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 03:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -8.72%E -6.19%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%EV -6.48%E -0.888%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -7.12%E -0.983%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.72%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.40%EV -9.69%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.87%EV -3.00%E -0.695%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.13%E -4.23%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -8.07%E -5.69%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.37%E -6.69%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -10.33%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -13.53%E -2.00%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -11.31%E -8.26%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -16.73%E -2.57%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.22%EV -13.25%E -9.89%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 13.89%EV -21.86%E -3.58%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.90%EV -16.92%E -4.57%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-21 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -23.14%E -3.86%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -23.14%E -3.86%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -23.14%E -3.86%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -23.14%E -3.86%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.49%EV -11.31%E -8.26%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -23.14%E -3.86%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-21 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 62.80%EV -13.25%E -9.89%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 14.76%EV -26.98%E -4.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.44%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-21 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.55% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.80% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |