A Escola das Odds

Independiente Medellín v Liverpool FC Montevideo

Início: 2026-02-25 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente Medellín (Local)

Previsão 64.04%1.56odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.898%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.77%64.07%64.10%67.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.431.441.5474.07%69.79%69.44%64.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liverpool FC Montevideo (Visitante)

Previsão 13.53%7.39odd justa
EV +11.66%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.57%13.46%13.39%14.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.906.986.908.2516.95%14.32%14.49%12.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.43%4.46odd justa
EV +3.17%
Vantagem +0.690%
Kelly +0.881%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.64%22.47%22.51%24.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.134.104.6027.78%24.21%24.39%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 67.69%EV -9.71%E -6.88%K -23.68%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +11.66%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.187%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%EV +3.17%E +0.690%K +0.881%G +0.028%4.8%2026-02-25 00:25
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:35
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +4.89%E +0.631%K +0.725%G +0.035%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.56%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +4.89%E +0.631%K +0.725%G +0.035%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.56%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -13.55%E -10.04%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -1.31%E -0.299%K -0.386%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 23:39
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -13.55%E -10.04%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -1.31%E -0.299%K -0.386%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 23:39
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.04%EV -1.74%E -0.240%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -1.88%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%5.0%2026-02-25 00:04
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -1.88%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 20:39
Suprabets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:37
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.34%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.33%EV -5.94%E -0.854%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.92%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 00:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -6.61%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -17.01%E -4.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -6.61%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -17.01%E -4.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 00:05
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -8.64%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -13.65%E -3.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 00:04
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.83%EV -1.38%E -0.898%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.51%EV -9.73%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -4.23%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:19
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.24%EV -10.40%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.89%EV -7.59%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-24 21:30
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-24 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -19.26%E -5.35%K -7.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.42%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -13.38%E -2.09%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-25 00:19
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -15.41%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.86%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.35%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.78%EV -15.22%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.00%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.95%EV -20.15%E -3.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-25 00:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.92%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%1.3%2026-02-25 00:20
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-02-25 00:05