L’École des cotes

Independiente Medellín v Liverpool FC Montevideo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Medellín (Local)

Prévision 64.04%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.77%64.07%64.10%67.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.431.441.5474.07%69.79%69.44%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liverpool FC Montevideo (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.53%7.39cote équitable
EV +11.66%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 8.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.57%13.46%13.39%14.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.986.908.2516.95%14.32%14.49%12.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.43%4.46cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.690%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.64%22.47%22.51%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.134.104.6027.78%24.21%24.39%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 67.69%EV -9.71%E -6.88%K -23.68%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +11.66%E +1.41%K +1.61%G +0.187%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%EV +3.17%E +0.690%K +0.881%G +0.028%4.8%2026-02-25 00:25
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:35
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +8.27%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.098%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%6.2%2026-02-24 23:39
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +4.89%E +0.631%K +0.725%G +0.035%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.56%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -8.43%E -5.89%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.16%EV +4.89%E +0.631%K +0.725%G +0.035%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.56%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -13.55%E -10.04%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -1.31%E -0.299%K -0.386%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 23:39
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -13.55%E -10.04%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +1.51%E +0.201%K +0.232%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -1.31%E -0.299%K -0.386%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 23:39
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.04%EV -1.74%E -0.240%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 00:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -1.88%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.929%E +0.206%K +0.265%G +0.002%5.0%2026-02-25 00:04
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.36%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -1.88%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 20:39
Suprabets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:37
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.80%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.26%E -0.751%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.04%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.34%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.33%EV -5.94%E -0.854%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.92%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 00:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -6.61%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -17.01%E -4.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 61.78%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -6.61%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -17.01%E -4.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 00:05
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -8.64%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -13.65%E -3.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 00:04
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.83%EV -1.38%E -0.898%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.51%EV -9.73%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -4.23%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:19
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.24%EV -10.40%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.89%EV -7.59%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-24 21:30
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.53%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-24 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -12.03%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -19.26%E -5.35%K -7.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.42%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -13.38%E -2.09%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-25 00:19
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -15.41%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.68%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.77%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.86%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.35%EV -18.79%E -3.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.78%EV -15.22%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.00%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.95%EV -20.15%E -3.41%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-25 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-02-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.92%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.43%1.3%2026-02-25 00:20
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-02-25 00:05