Language:English
Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Prediction 64.47%1.55fair odd
EV -0.711%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.68%64.35%64.57%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.441.5473.53%69.02%69.44%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Tolima (Visit)
Prediction 13.44%7.44fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.230%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 7.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.43%13.44%13.38%15.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.756.907.5716.67%14.82%14.49%13.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.12%22.21%22.05%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.094.004.5026.32%24.46%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente del Valle (Local): 64.47%; Deportes Tolima (Visit): 13.44%; Draw: 22.09%. For Deportes Tolima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.30%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.68%EV +1.74%E +0.230%K +0.265%G +0.005% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.02%EV -3.70%E -0.849%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.800%E +0.107%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.800%E +0.107%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 00:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -8.45%E -5.95%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +0.800%E +0.107%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -8.45%E -5.95%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +0.800%E +0.107%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -1.89%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-26 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.61%EV -1.89%E -0.259%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -2.56%E -0.353%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.81%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -3.23%E -0.449%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 00:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.20%EV -0.711%E -0.461%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.20%EV -0.711%E -0.461%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.34%EV -2.64%E -1.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.99%EV -8.12%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-26 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -3.29%E -2.19%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.45%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -5.92%E -0.846%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.67%EV -7.26%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.92%EV -9.74%E -6.95%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.17%EV -7.26%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.90%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-26 00:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.58%EV -12.32%E -9.06%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.93%EV -7.26%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.58%E -3.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -9.28%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.78%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -9.28%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.24%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 00:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.13%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 00:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 00:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.37%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.73%EV -9.09%E -6.45%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.73%EV -9.09%E -6.45%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.64%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-26 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.23%EV -4.58%E -3.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.65%EV -12.77%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -0.612%E -0.136%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -13.98%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -4.58%E -3.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -16.00%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -4.58%E -3.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -16.00%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -14.97%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -7.80%E -5.46%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.36%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 65.11% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 23.08% | -1.5% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.65% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.47% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.47% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-26 00:25 |