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Independiente del Valle v Deportes Tolima

2026-08-26 00:30 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Independiente del Valle (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV +9.18%
Edge +4.37%
Kelly +8.34%
Growth +0.765%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.78%51.99%51.99%56.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.821.802.1061.73%55.03%55.56%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Tolima (Visit)

Prediction 20.03%4.99fair odd
EV +12.16%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +2.64%
Growth +0.322%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.40%20.03%20.03%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.534.605.6029.41%22.10%21.74%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.98%27.98%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.353.4131.75%30.16%29.85%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Independiente del Valle (Local): 51.99%; Deportes Tolima (Visit): 20.03%; Draw: 27.98%. For Deportes Tolima (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.60, producing a positive expected value of +12.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV +9.18%E +4.37%K +8.34%G +0.765%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -31.90%E -9.38%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.86%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 07:04
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.86%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 04:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 04:49
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 04:48
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -13.27%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 04:49
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.06%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 04:49
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -15.78%E -9.74%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +12.16%E +2.17%K +2.64%G +0.322%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.93%EV -4.58%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 03:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 38.66%1.15I 86.96%NM 38.66%1.96I 51.02%NM 22.68%124.9%2026-08-19 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 38.66%1.15I 86.96%NM 38.66%1.96I 51.02%NM 22.68%124.9%2026-08-19 07:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86%1.15I 86.96%NM 31.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.28%172.9%2026-08-19 06:34
Arbitrage (24 combinations) +5.48%PlayUp 2.10 (50.2%) / Suprabets 5.60 (18.8%) / Suprabets 3.41 (30.9%)Show all 24 combinations
Independiente del Valle (Local)Deportes Tolima (Visit)DrawMargin
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (50.2%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.8%)Suprabets🎯 3.41 (30.9%)+5.48%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (50.2%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (31.0%)+5.39%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (50.2%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (31.0%)+5.39%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (50.0%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.35 (31.3%)+4.90%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (49.5%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.6%)betfred_uk🎯 3.25 (32.0%)+3.90%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (49.5%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.6%)Paddy Power🎯 3.25 (32.0%)+3.90%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (49.0%)Suprabets🎯 5.60 (18.4%)PlayUp🎯 3.15 (32.7%)+2.86%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.6%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.5%)Suprabets🎯 3.41 (29.9%)+2.04%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (30.0%)+1.95%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.5%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.5%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (30.0%)+1.95%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.3%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.35 (30.3%)+1.50%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Suprabets🎯 3.41 (29.7%)+1.33%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.3%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Suprabets🎯 3.41 (29.7%)+1.33%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.2%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.25%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.2%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.25%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.2%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.25%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.2%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (22.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.8%)+1.25%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)SportsBet🎯 3.35 (30.1%)+0.797%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (48.0%)SportsBet🎯 4.60 (21.9%)SportsBet🎯 3.35 (30.1%)+0.797%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (47.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.2%)betfred_uk🎯 3.25 (30.9%)+0.562%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (47.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.75 (21.2%)Paddy Power🎯 3.25 (30.9%)+0.562%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Paddy Power🎯 4.40 (22.8%)Suprabets🎯 3.41 (29.4%)+0.329%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Paddy Power🎯 4.40 (22.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.243%
PlayUp🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Paddy Power🎯 4.40 (22.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.243%

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