Language:English
Fluminense-RJ v Palmeiras-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prediction 32.56%3.07fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.28%32.46%32.55%33.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.883.1037.74%34.91%34.78%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palmeiras-SP (Visit)
Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.06%35.04%34.97%37.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.612.8241.67%38.29%38.31%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.49%3.08fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.347%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%32.50%32.48%33.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.883.1037.04%34.81%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 32.56%; Palmeiras-SP (Visit): 34.95%; Draw: 32.49%. For Fluminense-RJ (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.921%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.46%EV +0.921%E +0.297%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -8.08%E -3.07%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.46%EV +0.728%E +0.235%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-10-14 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.46%EV +0.921%E +0.297%K +0.438%G +0.004% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -8.08%E -3.07%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.46%EV +0.728%E +0.235%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.5% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -0.382%E -0.125%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.63%EV -2.48%E -0.890%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-15 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.58%EV -0.382%E -0.125%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.63%EV -2.48%E -0.890%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-15 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.47%EV -1.68%E -0.558%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -12.27%E -4.89%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV +0.728%E +0.235%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.75%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -1.44%E -0.509%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-14 22:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-14 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.98%EV -4.94%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.15%EV -1.44%E -0.509%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.87%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -4.94%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.70%EV -10.32%E -3.74%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 20:39 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.52%E -0.840%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 00:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 00:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -13.32%E -5.37%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -14.37%E -5.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -14.37%E -5.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.72%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -14.37%E -5.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.72%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -6.57%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.10%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 00:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-14 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -3.88%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -4.93%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -8.37%E -2.97%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -4.93%E -1.81%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -8.37%E -2.97%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-15 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.43%E -3.22%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -16.12%E -6.71%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-15 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.04%EV -9.82%E -3.55%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.08%EV -11.57%E -4.57%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-15 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -10.87%E -4.26%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-14 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-15 00:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-15 00:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.10%E -4.48%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.84%EV -13.73%E -5.18%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.52%EV -14.37%E -5.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-15 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 00:15 |