Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 54.75%1.83fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -6.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.40%54.85%54.73%57.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7462.50%59.29%59.00%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)
Prediction 17.29%5.79fair odd
EV +8.03%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.58%17.23%17.35%18.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.395.356.2520.83%18.57%18.69%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.92%27.93%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.43%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 54.75%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 17.29%; Draw: 27.96%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.79. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.60%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +8.03%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.123% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.60%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +8.03%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.123% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -11.30%E -6.97%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +3.71%E +0.618%K +0.742%G +0.028% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.23%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.32%EV +0.599%E +0.103%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -6.61%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.73%E -2.72%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV +0.254%E +0.044%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.31%EV -5.21%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV +0.254%E +0.044%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV +0.254%E +0.044%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.14%E -0.611%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -0.611%E -0.106%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -0.611%E -0.106%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -0.611%E -0.106%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.37%E -3.73%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -1.47%E -0.259%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.73%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.81%EV -9.11%E -5.49%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.33%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -9.66%E -5.85%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.46%E -4.42%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -6.61%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.32%EV -9.66%E -5.85%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.13%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.98%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.45%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -3.54%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -6.66%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -6.66%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.66%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -11.92%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -6.66%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -11.92%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.25%EV -12.39%E -7.75%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.92%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.25%EV -12.39%E -7.75%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.92%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.25%EV -12.39%E -7.75%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.92%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -6.37%E -3.73%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.93%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.94%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.94%EV -5.27%E -3.05%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.82%E -3.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.49%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.17%EV -9.69%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.06%EV -11.30%E -6.97%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -11.85%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.13%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-12 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -9.13%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-11 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.92%E -4.07%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-12 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.53%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -8.56%E -5.13%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.32%E -4.30%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -8.01%E -4.77%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.30%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.73%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.11%E -5.49%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.13%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.55% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.60% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-08-12 00:25 |
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