Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV +7.20%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.155%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%24.46%24.77%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.804.3528.57%26.10%26.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.29%44.22%43.93%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.092.1752.36%48.28%47.73%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +0.201%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.32%31.29%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.2035.71%33.75%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 24.64%; Flamengo-RJ (Visit): 44.04%; Draw: 31.31%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +7.20%E +1.66%K +2.15%G +0.155% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.52%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02%EV -1.36%E -0.433%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +7.20%E +1.66%K +2.15%G +0.155% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.52%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02%EV -1.36%E -0.433%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV +3.50%E +0.834%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -6.19%E -2.91%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV +1.04%E +0.254%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV +1.04%E +0.254%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 23:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV +1.04%E +0.254%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV +1.04%E +0.254%K +0.335%G +0.003% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.26%EV +0.547%E +0.134%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -1.68%E -0.534%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.42%E -0.356%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%EV -11.03%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -1.42%E -0.356%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%EV -11.03%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.66%E -0.673%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.66%E -0.673%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -3.56%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -2.66%E -0.673%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -3.89%E -0.997%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV +0.201%E +0.063%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -3.89%E -0.997%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.55%EV -12.79%E -6.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -3.89%E -0.997%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.55%EV -12.79%E -6.46%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.33%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.93%EV -2.62%E -0.841%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.92%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -11.03%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.93%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.97%EV -4.38%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.80%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.90%EV -15.00%E -7.77%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.76%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-15 23:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.93%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-16 00:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -8.57%E -2.93%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.41%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.06%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-16 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.93%EV -10.59%E -5.22%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.76%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.44%EV -15.88%E -8.31%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -10.76%E -3.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.75%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-10-16 00:15 |