Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Corinthians-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.08%39.87%42.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4346.51%43.45%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corinthians-SP (Visit)
Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%25.17%25.30%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.17%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 34.78%2.88fair odd
EV -0.881%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.476%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.54%34.74%34.83%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.56%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 39.96%; Corinthians-SP (Visit): 25.26%; Draw: 34.78%. For Corinthians-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.05%E +0.262%K +0.350%G +0.004% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.881%E -0.309%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +1.05%E +0.262%K +0.350%G +0.004% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -0.214%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -0.881%E -0.309%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -0.214%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -0.881%E -0.309%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.58%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.53%EV -0.972%E -0.248%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -6.79%E -2.53%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.52%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.67%EV -2.49%E -0.644%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -7.49%E -2.82%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.52%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.67%EV -2.49%E -0.644%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -7.49%E -2.82%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.71%EV -5.70%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.22%EV -3.75%E -0.984%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.07%EV -1.92%E -0.682%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.53%E -3.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -9.23%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.94%EV -5.70%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.41%EV -6.28%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.65%EV -5.40%E -1.99%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -8.49%E -3.71%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -4.71%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -10.27%E -3.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -10.27%E -3.98%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.18%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.91%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.53%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.57%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.79%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.90%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.53%EV -8.30%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -7.14%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -2.62%E -0.936%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.88%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.11%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.11%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.11%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -10.32%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.58%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.36%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.36%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.58%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -12.85%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.10%E -2.26%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -14.11%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.84%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |