Language:English
Deportivo La Guaira v Club Bolívar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportivo La Guaira (Local)
Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.80%30.39%30.20%32.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.023.4235.71%33.02%33.11%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Club Bolívar (Visit)
Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.68%38.95%38.99%41.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.382.6547.62%41.68%42.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.427%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.10%30.66%30.81%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.033.2036.36%33.12%33.00%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo La Guaira (Local): 30.16%; Club Bolívar (Visit): 39.01%; Draw: 30.82%. For Club Bolívar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV +3.38%E +1.28%K +2.05%G +0.069% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV +3.38%E +1.28%K +2.05%G +0.069% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.85%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.74%EV -0.517%E -0.203%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -3.25%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -3.25%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -3.25%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.42%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -2.27%E -0.700%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.58%EV -5.98%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -1.97%E -0.605%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.02%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -8.15%E -2.73%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -2.27%E -0.700%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -7.54%E -3.18%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.43%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.75%EV -7.54%E -3.18%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -3.47%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -3.47%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.57%EV -4.68%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.59%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.84%EV -6.61%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.13%EV -8.90%E -2.95%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.23%EV -9.49%E -4.09%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.64%EV -8.46%E -2.85%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -9.07%E -3.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.27%E -4.47%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV +3.16%E +0.924%K +1.31%G +0.041% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -10.66%E -4.66%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.02%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -13.13%E -4.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -18.07%E -8.61%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -15.24%E -5.54%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-06 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 21:55 |