L’École des cotes

Deportes Tolima v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Tolima (Local)

Prévision 62.53%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -6.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.67%62.53%62.51%64.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.57%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.27%7.01cote équitable
EV +14.20%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.03%
Croissance +0.288%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.91%14.13%14.31%16.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.11%15.38%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.310%
Kelly +0.401%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.33%23.19%25.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.994.004.3727.40%25.08%25.00%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 00:24
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 00:24
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:34
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:24
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 12.94%EV +4.63%E +0.632%K +0.732%G +0.034%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:24
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV +1.35%E +0.190%K +0.221%G +0.003%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -12.79%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:17
Coolbet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.60%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.58%EV +0.921%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -2.36%E -0.560%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.65%E -0.540%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 00:24
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.21%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.21%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 22:49
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.19%EV -6.83%E -4.58%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.93%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -10.01%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 00:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.93%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.89%EV -7.07%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18%EV +1.35%E +0.310%K +0.401%G +0.005%3.2%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:09
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 00:14
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 22:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.51%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.21%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.01%EV -10.07%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:24
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -10.78%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 00:15
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -11.50%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-11 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.77%EV -12.45%E -8.90%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 00:04
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:19
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 00:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -11.83%E -8.39%K -28.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -15.78%E -2.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-12 00:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:09
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%3.5%2026-03-12 00:09