La escuela de los momios

Deportes Tolima v O'Higgins

Inicio: 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportes Tolima (Local)

Predicción 62.53%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.40%
Kelly -6.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.67%62.53%62.51%64.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.57%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Predicción 14.27%7.01momio equitativo
EV +14.20%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.03%
Crecimiento +0.288%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.91%14.13%14.31%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.11%15.38%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.310%
Kelly +0.401%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.33%23.19%25.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.994.004.3727.40%25.08%25.00%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 00:24
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 00:24
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +14.20%E +1.77%K +2.03%G +0.288%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:34
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:24
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 00:24
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV +7.06%E +0.941%K +1.09%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 12.94%EV +4.63%E +0.632%K +0.732%G +0.034%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:24
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.95%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.17%EV +1.35%E +0.190%K +0.221%G +0.003%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.88%EV -12.79%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:17
Coolbet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.60%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.58%EV +0.921%E +0.130%K +0.152%G +0.001%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -2.36%E -0.560%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -0.078%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.65%E -0.540%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 00:24
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.21%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.21%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 22:49
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.19%EV -6.83%E -4.58%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.93%EV -5.07%E -0.763%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -10.01%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 00:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.93%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.89%EV -7.07%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18%EV +1.35%E +0.310%K +0.401%G +0.005%3.2%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:09
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -8.08%E -5.49%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 00:14
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -7.22%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 22:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 62.51%EV -5.58%E -3.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -8.64%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.21%EV -4.95%E -3.26%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.01%EV -10.07%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -3.75%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:24
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -10.78%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 00:15
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.33%E -6.43%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -11.50%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-11 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.77%EV -12.45%E -8.90%K -31.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 00:04
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.70%E -2.40%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 00:19
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 00:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.35%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.11%EV -11.83%E -8.39%K -28.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -15.78%E -2.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-12 00:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -21.49%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-12 00:09
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%3.5%2026-03-12 00:09