Language:English
Deportes Tolima v Independiente del Valle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Tolima (Local)
Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.33%32.26%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.852.863.0240.32%35.13%34.97%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Visit)
Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.54%37.01%37.04%38.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6343.48%40.09%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -0.056%
Edge -0.017%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.66%30.70%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.053.2535.09%32.87%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Tolima (Local): 32.24%; Independiente del Valle (Visit): 37.00%; Draw: 30.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.252. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.250, with an expected value of -0.056%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.75%EV -2.62%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.65%EV -6.82%E -2.25%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -2.62%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.53%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -7.13%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -2.62%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.53%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -7.13%E -2.36%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 10:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 08:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.21%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 08:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.19%EV -3.91%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -0.056%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -0.056%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.88%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 04:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -7.12%E -2.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.51%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 06:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-11 07:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.25%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -1.59%E -0.498%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 22:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -4.90%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.51%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.32%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.56%EV -8.60%E -3.48%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -5.28%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -7.46%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -12.36%E -4.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 00:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -0.056%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.13%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -3.13%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -3.13%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.23%E -3.32%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -3.13%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 20:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -1.59%E -0.498%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.08%E -4.15%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.21%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -6.21%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.23%EV -4.53%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -10.36%E -3.73%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.23%EV -4.53%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.33%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.21%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -6.21%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 01:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 01:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-10 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -12.94%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-10 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -14.55%E -5.49%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-10 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -20.03%E -8.08%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -3.13%E -0.994%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-01 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.22% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 15.16% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.42% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.42% | 116.3% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 15.16% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.42% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 42.42% | 116.3% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
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