The School of Odds

Deportes Tolima v Independiente del Valle

2026-08-12 00:30 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Deportes Tolima (Local)

Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.4940.16%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.6537.74%Max
Consensus probabilities
36.24%2.759Min
37.47%2.669Max
36.86%2.713Mean
36.93%2.708Median
36.85%2.713IQM
36.86%2.713Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.65 under the IQM model: 36.85%

EV -2.34%Edge -0.882%Kelly -1.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Independiente del Valle (Visit)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.6537.73%Mean
2.6737.52%Median
2.8035.71%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.39%2.995Min
36.00%2.778Max
34.28%2.917Mean
34.29%2.917Median
34.36%2.911IQM
34.28%2.917Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 34.36%

EV -3.80%Edge -1.36%Kelly -2.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.1931.33%Mean
3.2530.82%Median
3.4528.99%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.98%3.707Min
29.72%3.365Max
28.86%3.465Mean
28.78%3.475Median
28.79%3.474IQM
28.86%3.465Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.45 under the IQM model: 28.79%

EV -0.677%Edge -0.196%Kelly -0.276%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDeportes Tolima (Local) ▼Independiente del Valle (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.65I 37.74% NM 36.24%EV -2.34% E -0.882% K -1.42% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.92%EV -5.52% E -2.01% K -3.15% G +0.000%3.33I 30.03% NM 28.84%EV -4.13% E -1.24% K -1.77% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 09:00
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91% NM 36.29%EV -5.29% E -2.06% K -3.37% G +0.000%2.67I 37.45% NM 34.93%EV -8.27% E -3.10% K -4.95% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 28.78%EV -6.72% E -2.07% K -3.00% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-04 08:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.87%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.48%EV -8.95% E -3.38% K -5.43% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.65%EV -2.12% E -0.622% K -0.882% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 15:10
Unibet2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Casumo2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22% NM 36.64%EV -6.02% E -2.36% K -3.89% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.61%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.75%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Betsson2.52I 39.68% NM 37.01%EV -7.13% E -2.83% K -4.69% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 34.29%EV -6.55% E -2.41% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.70%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 11:25
NordicBet2.52I 39.68% NM 37.01%EV -7.13% E -2.83% K -4.69% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 34.29%EV -6.55% E -2.41% K -3.81% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.70%EV -6.43% E -1.98% K -2.86% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 19:40
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00% NM 37.40%EV -7.87% E -3.15% K -5.24% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -3.80% E -1.36% K -2.11% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.22%EV -7.87% E -2.46% K -3.58% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 20:20
SportsBet2.50I 40.00% NM 37.23%EV -7.87% E -3.15% K -5.24% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -10.67% E -4.10% K -6.67% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.98%EV -0.677% E -0.196% K -0.276% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 15:10
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00% NM 36.94%EV -7.87% E -3.15% K -5.24% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.20%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.86%EV -7.87% E -2.46% K -3.58% G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Suprabets2.50I 40.00% NM 36.68%EV -7.87% E -3.15% K -5.24% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 34.48%EV -8.61% E -3.24% K -5.19% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 28.84%EV -8.45% E -2.66% K -3.88% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 09:37
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32% NM 36.63%EV -8.60% E -3.47% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 34.54%EV -9.64% E -3.67% K -5.92% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.84%EV -9.31% E -2.96% K -4.33% G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 15:10
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32% NM 36.63%EV -8.60% E -3.47% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 34.54%EV -9.64% E -3.67% K -5.92% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.84%EV -9.31% E -2.96% K -4.33% G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 15:10
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32% NM 36.63%EV -8.60% E -3.47% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 34.54%EV -9.64% E -3.67% K -5.92% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.84%EV -9.31% E -2.96% K -4.33% G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-01 09:19
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -7.24% E -2.68% K -4.26% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -7.87% E -2.46% K -3.58% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-02 10:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82% NM 37.17%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.37%EV -8.95% E -3.38% K -5.43% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.46%EV -7.87% E -2.46% K -3.58% G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82% NM 36.99%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.54%EV -12.39% E -4.86% K -7.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.46%EV -5.00% E -1.51% K -2.17% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-03 15:10
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82% NM 36.73%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.00%EV -14.11% E -5.64% K -9.41% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.27%EV -5.00% E -1.51% K -2.17% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-03 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82% NM 36.39%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 33.90%EV -9.64% E -3.67% K -5.92% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.72%EV -13.63% E -4.54% K -6.82% G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 17:00
Neds2.45I 40.82% NM 36.39%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 33.90%EV -9.64% E -3.67% K -5.92% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.72%EV -13.63% E -4.54% K -6.82% G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 17:00
Coral2.45I 40.82% NM 36.34%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 33.98%EV -9.99% E -3.81% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.68%EV -13.63% E -4.54% K -6.82% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82% NM 36.34%EV -9.71% E -3.96% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 33.98%EV -9.99% E -3.81% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.68%EV -13.63% E -4.54% K -6.82% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 36.89%EV -13.39% E -5.70% K -9.92% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.68%EV -14.11% E -5.64% K -9.41% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.43%EV -12.19% E -4.00% K -5.95% G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-30 15:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 37.50%EV -15.24% E -6.62% K -11.72% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 33.56%EV -11.70% E -4.55% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 28.94%EV -14.21% E -4.77% K -7.18% G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-30 15:09
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 37.47%EV -15.24% E -6.62% K -11.72% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.80%EV -12.39% E -4.86% K -7.99% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.73%EV -13.63% E -4.54% K -6.82% G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-30 15:09
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44% NM 37.30%EV -17.08% E -7.59% K -13.66% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 34.25%EV -15.83% E -6.46% K -10.91% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 28.45%EV -15.07% E -5.11% K -7.73% G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-30 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth