Language:English
Deportes Tolima v Independiente del Valle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Tolima (Local)
Prediction 30.77%3.25fair odd
EV -0.013%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%30.79%30.80%31.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.003.2535.09%33.08%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Visit)
Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%38.17%38.16%40.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.52%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.07%31.05%31.04%31.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.982.983.1635.71%33.61%33.61%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Tolima (Local): 30.77%; Independiente del Valle (Visit): 38.16%; Draw: 31.08%. For Deportes Tolima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.2504. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.2500, with an expected value of -0.013%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.37%E -2.17%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -2.10%E -0.668%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -0.013%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.37%E -2.17%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%EV -2.10%E -0.668%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.51%EV -0.936%E -0.291%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.07%EV -1.79%E -0.567%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -2.47%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.10%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -4.90%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -2.78%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -2.78%E -0.880%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.44%EV -5.55%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%EV -6.13%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -8.01%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 00:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -2.70%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.90%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.17%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.08%EV -6.47%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.75%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.67%EV -4.28%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.61%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.13%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.87%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.70%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -11.09%E -4.76%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.75%EV -7.66%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.28%EV -9.25%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.75%EV -7.66%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.28%EV -9.25%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 00:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.00%E -5.70%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -9.24%E -3.13%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.00%E -5.70%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.77%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.98%E -4.64%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.98%E -4.64%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.98%E -4.64%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -9.57%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.98%E -4.64%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -12.32%E -4.32%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.33%E -4.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:25 |