The School of Odds
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Deportes Tolima v Independiente del Valle

2026-08-19 00:30 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Tolima (Local)

Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.23%33.28%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.752.9739.22%36.05%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente del Valle (Visit)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.58%38.05%38.13%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.432.5543.48%41.55%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.06%28.72%28.60%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.3534.48%31.64%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportes Tolima (Local): 33.20%; Independiente del Valle (Visit): 38.07%; Draw: 28.73%. For Deportes Tolima (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.97, with an expected value of -1.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -1.41%E -0.474%K -0.715%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.37%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -6.05%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -2.07%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.09%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -3.75%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -2.07%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.09%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -3.75%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 13:04
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.66%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.13%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.64%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:04
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 18:12
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 18:24
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 13:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 13:04
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.05%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 13:04
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 13:29
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 13:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 13:04
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-12 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-12 13:04
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-12 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-12 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-12 13:04
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.71%E -3.17%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-12 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -10.37%E -3.84%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.64%EV -6.34%E -2.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.03%E -4.54%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -11.29%E -4.84%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-12 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.03%E -4.54%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -11.29%E -4.84%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-12 13:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -12.03%E -4.54%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -16.68%E -5.75%K -8.78%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-12 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -15.35%E -6.02%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.65%EV -12.43%E -5.40%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.39%EV -12.37%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-12 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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