Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 8.00
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Tolima (Local): 60.73%; Deportivo Táchira (Visit): 14.50%; Draw: 24.78%. For Deportivo Táchira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.90. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -12.56%E -8.72%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +15.99%E +2.00%K +2.28%G +0.365% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV +1.58%E +0.385%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -13.16%E -9.21%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -14.98%E -10.70%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +1.58%E +0.385%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -14.98%E -10.70%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV +1.58%E +0.385%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.43%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.28%EV +2.95%E +0.415%K +0.483%G +0.014% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.30%EV -3.87%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.43%EV -8.31%E -5.50%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.28%EV +2.95%E +0.415%K +0.483%G +0.014% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.30%EV -3.87%E -0.998%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV +1.50%E +0.214%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -3.38%E -0.865%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 00:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.48%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +1.50%E +0.214%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.70%E -5.06%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.50%E +0.214%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 00:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.47%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.62%EV +0.770%E +0.111%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -7.70%E -5.06%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -2.13%E -0.315%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV -4.30%E -0.652%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.38%E -0.865%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.82%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.38%E -0.865%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.75%E -0.885%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.20%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -7.20%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.58%EV -7.93%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV -7.83%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 00:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.39%EV -5.27%E -3.38%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -8.65%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.66%EV -5.36%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.79%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -9.38%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.39%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-27 00:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -11.34%E -7.77%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -18.24%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-27 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.24%EV -0.411%E -0.251%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%EV -13.15%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.54%EV -1.89%E -0.477%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.45%EV -11.95%E -8.24%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 00:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.25%EV -12.56%E -8.72%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.96%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.22%EV -11.34%E -7.77%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -18.80%E -3.36%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -20.25%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -20.25%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -20.25%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -8.91%E -5.94%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -20.25%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-02-27 00:25 |