Language:English
Corinthians-SP v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corinthians-SP (Local)
Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV +0.145%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%42.16%42.14%43.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3848.78%45.31%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.68%24.25%24.34%25.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.804.2128.17%26.31%26.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.57%2.98fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.42%33.59%33.53%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.46%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians-SP (Local): 42.08%; Rosario Central (Visit): 24.35%; Draw: 33.57%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -5.75%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV +2.52%E +0.599%K +0.786%G +0.020% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.22%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV +2.28%E +0.543%K +0.712%G +0.016% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -0.156%E -0.038%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 00:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -0.156%E -0.038%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -0.399%E -0.098%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -3.56%E -0.900%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.02%EV +0.145%E +0.061%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.02%EV +0.145%E +0.061%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.81%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -3.81%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -4.48%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.24%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.33%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -4.48%E -1.98%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.24%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -5.33%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.13%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.71%E -4.45%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.31%EV -7.01%E -3.17%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.24%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.67%EV -6.49%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.96%EV -6.34%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.48%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.05%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-20 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.69%E -4.01%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.05%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.05%EV -10.37%E -3.88%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.90%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.90%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.90%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -6.00%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -6.17%E -2.77%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.36%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -7.68%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 00:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.77%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.77%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.77%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.96% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |