Language:English
Corinthians-SP v Independiente Santa Fe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corinthians-SP (Local)
Prediction 66.06%1.51fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -7.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.52%66.12%66.24%69.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.401.4676.92%71.99%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Santa Fe (Visit)
Prediction 11.35%8.81fair odd
EV +19.15%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.386%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.10%11.42%11.07%13.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.568.5010.5015.38%11.68%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.60%4.43fair odd
EV +6.21%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%22.46%22.70%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.174.134.7027.78%24.00%24.21%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians-SP (Local): 66.06%; Independiente Santa Fe (Visit): 11.35%; Draw: 22.60%. For Independiente Santa Fe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.81. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.87%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.32%EV +19.15%E +1.82%K +2.02%G +0.386% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +6.21%E +1.32%K +1.68%G +0.104% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.87%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.32%EV +19.15%E +1.82%K +2.02%G +0.386% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%EV +6.21%E +1.32%K +1.68%G +0.104% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -10.83%E -8.02%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.69%E +0.375%K +0.482%G +0.008% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -10.83%E -8.02%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.69%E +0.375%K +0.482%G +0.008% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -10.83%E -8.02%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.69%E +0.375%K +0.482%G +0.008% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.69%EV -10.83%E -8.02%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +1.69%E +0.375%K +0.482%G +0.008% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.84%EV -11.49%E -8.57%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.69%E +0.375%K +0.482%G +0.008% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.99%EV -14.13%E -10.87%K -47.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.99%EV -14.13%E -10.87%K -47.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.99%EV -14.13%E -10.87%K -47.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV +13.47%E +1.35%K +1.50%G +0.202% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.06%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +7.80%E +0.821%K +0.918%G +0.072% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.06%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +7.80%E +0.821%K +0.918%G +0.072% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -10.83%E -8.02%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +7.80%E +0.821%K +0.918%G +0.072% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV +3.95%E +0.858%K +1.10%G +0.043% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 00:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.10%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.26%EV +6.10%E +0.652%K +0.730%G +0.045% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -4.19%E -0.988%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.71%EV -8.84%E -6.41%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.05%EV +5.53%E +0.595%K +0.666%G +0.037% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.69%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +2.13%E +0.236%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -1.70%E -0.391%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.80%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +2.13%E +0.236%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +2.13%E +0.236%K +0.266%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.18%E -5.89%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -0.143%E -0.016%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.18%E -5.89%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -0.143%E -0.016%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.58%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -3.55%E -0.417%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.41%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV -6.38%E -0.774%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.83%E -0.658%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 00:22 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.37%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -6.38%E -0.774%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.20%E -4.37%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.22%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -9.22%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.61%EV -10.16%E -7.47%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%EV -9.22%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -18.65%E -5.18%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.87%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.98I 12.53%NM 11.73%EV -9.45%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.78%EV -7.12%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -4.88%E -3.39%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -14.89%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -4.22%E -2.91%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -14.89%E -1.99%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.46%EV -6.20%E -4.37%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.37%EV -16.03%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -10.74%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -6.86%E -4.87%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -20.57%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -6.86%E -4.87%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -20.57%E -2.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.93%EV -3.56%E -2.44%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.35%EV -20.68%E -2.96%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.71%EV -7.12%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -26.24%E -4.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -26.24%E -4.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -26.24%E -4.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -26.24%E -4.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-16 00:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.02%EV -9.50%E -6.94%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -26.24%E -4.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.2% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.82% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.82% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 00:29 |