Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Corinthians-SP v Estudiantes La Plata

2026-09-17 00:30 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Corinthians-SP (Local)

Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.63%49.01%49.03%50.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.882.0055.56%53.19%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 20.98%4.77fair odd
EV +0.713%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.188%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%21.07%20.81%23.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.344.404.8027.03%23.02%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.05%3.33fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%29.92%30.16%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.103.2633.90%32.46%32.26%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Corinthians-SP (Local): 48.97%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 20.98%; Draw: 30.05%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.713%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +0.713%E +0.149%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47%EV -0.336%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -2.34%E -0.719%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47%EV -0.336%E -0.071%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -2.34%E -0.719%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.66%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.48%EV -1.80%E -0.386%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.49%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.33%EV -2.43%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.69%EV -7.44%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -2.43%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 14:21
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -2.43%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -3.48%E -0.757%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -3.48%E -0.757%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -3.48%E -0.757%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -5.94%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.26%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.48%E -0.757%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 14:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.24%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:10
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -7.45%E -3.94%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%EV -7.45%E -3.94%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.85%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.53%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:21
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.63%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.34%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.34%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.81%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -8.73%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.72%EV -8.94%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.92%EV -2.03%E -0.624%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.59%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:21
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -10.88%E -5.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -11.35%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -10.88%E -5.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -11.35%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -10.88%E -5.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -11.35%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.94%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -5.34%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.39%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -18.17%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.40%EV -10.88%E -5.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -20.27%E -5.33%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -6.84%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.86%E -6.59%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -22.37%E -6.05%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.80%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.80%114.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.80%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.80%114.4%2026-09-12 14:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 43.78%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.11%1.62I 61.73%NM 28.11%119.6%2026-09-12 14:20