Language:English
Corinthians-SP v Estudiantes La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corinthians-SP (Local)
Prediction 44.63%2.24fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.09%44.69%44.57%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1851.28%48.44%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 22.02%4.54fair odd
EV +5.69%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.45%21.91%22.02%23.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.274.254.8025.32%23.43%23.53%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV +0.065%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.41%33.41%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.753.0038.17%36.40%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians-SP (Local): 44.63%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 22.02%; Draw: 33.36%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV +5.69%E +1.19%K +1.50%G +0.085% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -6.27%E -2.23%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.98%EV -9.41%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV +5.69%E +1.19%K +1.50%G +0.085% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +3.49%E +0.743%K +0.943%G +0.033% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.83%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +1.29%E +0.280%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.93%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.83%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%EV +1.29%E +0.280%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.93%EV -3.94%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -5.84%E -2.77%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.81%EV +0.848%E +0.185%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -5.84%E -2.77%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.81%EV +0.848%E +0.185%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.98%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -0.914%E -0.203%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.09%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.92%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -0.914%E -0.203%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.18%EV -12.61%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -2.01%E -0.453%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.75%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -3.61%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.78%EV -2.68%E -0.605%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.12%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.94%E -1.73%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.12%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.48%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -3.12%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.61%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.48%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -3.12%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.61%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.48%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -3.12%E -0.708%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.61%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.34%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.66%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.16%EV -5.39%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.68%EV -2.27%E -0.775%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.61%EV -8.96%E -4.39%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -5.27%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.36%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -5.32%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.18%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.16%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.42%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.72%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -6.42%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.71%EV -9.27%E -3.41%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.065%E +0.022%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.14%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.45%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.52%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.61%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -3.61%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 00:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.94%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.14%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.72%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -9.86%E -4.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.37%EV -10.61%E -3.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.94%E -3.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.75%E -5.37%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.92%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -12.28%E -4.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.02%E -3.30%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -8.52%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -13.02%E -3.30%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.61%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -13.02%E -3.30%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -11.61%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.24% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 1.1% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |