Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v Platense

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 22:00 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 0–0 Platense

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.967%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.76%41.22%41.24%43.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.272.262.4846.95%43.97%44.15%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Platense (Visit)

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -0.559%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%26.29%26.24%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.503.7932.26%28.76%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.68%32.48%32.51%33.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.2037.04%35.04%35.09%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 41.29%; Platense (Visit): 26.24%; Draw: 32.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV +3.91%E +1.22%K +1.78%G +0.070%5.3%2026-08-19 21:50
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.54%EV -9.22%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.04%EV -0.308%E -0.100%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV +2.40%E +0.967%K +1.62%G +0.039%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -2.58%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV +2.40%E +0.967%K +1.62%G +0.039%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -2.58%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -0.906%E -0.377%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -2.58%E -0.860%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-19 21:36
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.559%E -0.147%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.40%EV -3.56%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.20%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.61%E -0.429%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.20%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 21:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.20%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 21:45
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.92%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 21:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 21:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.32%EV -4.62%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.68%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:50
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -1.73%E -0.728%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -1.73%E -0.728%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:56
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -1.73%E -0.728%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -12.05%E -5.66%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.34%EV -6.07%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.06%EV -8.10%E -2.86%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-19 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 21:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -2.92%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 21:55
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -14.73%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -16.04%E -5.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.73%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.10%E -3.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-19 21:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -2.92%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -9.73%E -3.50%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -2.92%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -9.73%E -3.50%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 21:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 21:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 21:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.16%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.76%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.66%E -6.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 21:56
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.76%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.66%E -6.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.76%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.66%E -6.02%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-19 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%0.6%2026-08-19 21:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%0.6%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%0.6%2026-08-19 21:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-08-19 21:55