L’École des cotes

Coquimbo Unido v Nacional de Montevideo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 40.69%2.46cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.686%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%40.79%40.57%42.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.292.5047.62%43.68%43.76%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nacional de Montevideo (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV +4.61%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%26.64%27.05%28.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.403.9032.26%28.99%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.49%3.08cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%32.57%32.38%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.832.843.0037.04%35.29%35.21%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.02%EV -6.83%E -2.98%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +4.61%E +1.18%K +1.59%G +0.073%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.30%EV -6.10%E -2.11%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +3.27%E +0.848%K +1.15%G +0.037%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -7.40%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +3.27%E +0.848%K +1.15%G +0.037%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -7.40%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:55
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +3.27%E +0.848%K +1.15%G +0.037%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -7.40%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:55
Suprabets2.24I 44.64%NM 41.72%EV -8.86%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.79%EV +1.12%E +0.297%K +0.404%G +0.005%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.49%EV -9.35%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 21:48
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -9.68%E -4.36%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.758%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 21:55
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.758%E -0.205%K -0.281%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:44
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -8.86%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -1.29%E -0.352%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -8.05%E -2.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:50
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -2.64%E -0.726%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -7.40%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 21:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 21:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 21:44
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 21:49
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.37%E -2.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 21:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -7.24%E -3.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.37%E -2.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 21:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.27%E -4.55%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-08 21:45
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%EV +1.72%E +0.686%K +1.14%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.53%E -0.842%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 21:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09%EV +1.72%E +0.686%K +1.14%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -2.53%E -0.842%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 21:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 21:54
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 21:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 21:55
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 21:45
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -10.15%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.40%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 21:50
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 21:50
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -2.35%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:44
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:44
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:44
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -11.30%E -5.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -12.02%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:43
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-08 21:44
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -5.20%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 21:50
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -5.20%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -5.20%E -2.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.52%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.65%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-08 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.52%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -16.85%E -5.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -12.27%E -4.55%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-08 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-04-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-04-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-04-08 21:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77%2.4%2026-04-08 21:55