Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v Club Universitario de Deportes

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 00:00 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 2–1 Club Universitario de Deportes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.42%40.54%40.54%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.262.272.4047.17%44.24%44.05%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Universitario de Deportes (Visit)

Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +0.878%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.36%27.95%27.95%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.383.453.6533.90%29.61%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.457%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%31.51%31.51%32.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.973.2035.71%33.68%33.67%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 40.40%; Club Universitario de Deportes (Visit): 28.03%; Draw: 31.56%. For Club Universitario de Deportes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.79%EV -7.89%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV +2.33%E +0.637%K +0.878%G +0.020%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV +1.01%E +0.314%K +0.457%G +0.005%2.5%2026-05-07 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.79%EV -7.89%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV +2.33%E +0.637%K +0.878%G +0.020%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV +1.01%E +0.314%K +0.457%G +0.005%2.5%2026-05-07 23:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV +0.925%E +0.257%K +0.356%G +0.003%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -6.25%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV +0.925%E +0.257%K +0.356%G +0.003%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -6.25%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.44%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV +0.925%E +0.257%K +0.356%G +0.003%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -6.25%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 23:50
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.29%E -3.65%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.52%EV +0.364%E +0.102%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:54
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -6.67%E -2.89%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -0.197%E -0.055%K -0.077%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.05%EV -6.25%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 23:50
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -11.93%E -5.47%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.15%E -0.694%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -11.93%E -5.47%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.15%E -0.694%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:54
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:54
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -0.477%E -0.134%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.05%EV -7.83%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 23:47
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.88%E -0.537%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -11.93%E -5.47%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -1.88%E -0.537%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 23:55
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -1.88%E -0.537%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 23:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -1.88%E -0.537%K -0.751%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -9.41%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 23:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.79%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.28%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:49
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.89%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -3.28%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.83%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -3.28%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 23:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -3.28%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -14.35%E -6.77%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -3.28%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -4.12%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -8.15%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 23:54
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -7.89%E -3.46%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 23:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 23:34
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.79%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.24%EV -6.36%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.89%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.89%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -5.94%E -1.99%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -11.69%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-07 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.03%EV -8.29%E -3.65%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -11.69%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.12%EV -7.83%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 23:34
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.31%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 23:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.41%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 23:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.41%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-07 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -17.30%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-07 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-05-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-05-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-05-07 23:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%2.7%2026-05-07 23:55