Language:English
Club Bolívar v Deportivo La Guaira
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Club Bolívar (Local)
Prediction 78.04%1.28fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -17.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.28%78.14%77.83%80.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.181.2387.72%84.38%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportivo La Guaira (Visit)
Prediction 7.43%13.47fair odd
EV +18.81%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.236%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.10%7.46%7.58%8.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0013.1513.0016.0010.00%7.60%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.53%6.88fair odd
EV +9.30%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.133%
assuming max odds 7.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.56%14.40%14.58%15.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.476.507.5218.18%15.46%15.38%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Bolívar (Local): 78.04%; Deportivo La Guaira (Visit): 7.43%; Draw: 14.53%. For Deportivo La Guaira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.47. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +18.81%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.236% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.290%G +0.005% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.97%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +18.81%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.236% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +1.74%E +0.249%K +0.290%G +0.005% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -9.47%E -8.17%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +11.38%E +0.759%K +0.813%G +0.093% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +7.67%E +0.529%K +0.568%G +0.044% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +7.67%E +0.529%K +0.568%G +0.044% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.37%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV +5.44%E +0.383%K +0.412%G +0.022% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.07%EV -10.03%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.75%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.13%G +0.000% | 14.14I 7.07%NM 6.68%EV +4.99%E +0.353%K +0.380%G +0.019% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.56%EV +9.30%E +1.24%K +1.43%G +0.133% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -4.01%E -3.26%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 14.02I 7.13%NM 6.87%EV +4.10%E +0.293%K +0.315%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.53%EV -9.47%E -8.17%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.80%EV +6.10%E +0.836%K +0.968%G +0.059% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 23:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.42%EV -10.25%E -8.92%K -68.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.42%EV -10.25%E -8.92%K -68.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.52%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.05%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.25%EV -10.25%E -8.92%K -68.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +3.95%E +0.282%K +0.304%G +0.012% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.24%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.60%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.13%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +0.242%E +0.018%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.50%EV +0.287%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 23:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -4.01%E -3.26%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -9.47%E -8.17%K -59.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV +5.37%E +0.741%K +0.860%G +0.046% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -11.03%E -9.68%K -78.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -3.47%E -0.267%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV -4.07%E -0.617%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.80%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.93%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -7.18%E -0.575%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.90%E -0.908%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -10.90%E -0.908%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.35%E -5.29%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -10.90%E -0.908%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.60%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.90%E -0.908%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.77%EV -9.89%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -4.79%E -3.93%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -5.53%E -0.850%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -11.03%E -9.68%K -78.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -18.32%E -1.67%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.34%EV -10.25%E -8.92%K -68.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -25.75%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -14.25%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.77% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.77% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.58% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.98% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.07% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |