Language:English
Cerro Porteño v Sporting Cristal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cerro Porteño (Local)
Prediction 54.25%1.84fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%54.27%53.84%57.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.701.7763.69%59.03%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Cristal (Visit)
Prediction 18.48%5.41fair odd
EV +7.19%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.108%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.69%18.54%18.85%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.105.035.8022.73%19.59%19.88%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +0.825%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.19%27.31%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.413.7532.26%29.19%29.37%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cerro Porteño (Local): 54.25%; Sporting Cristal (Visit): 18.48%; Draw: 27.27%. For Sporting Cristal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.26%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV +7.19%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.108% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%EV +2.27%E +0.605%K +0.825%G +0.019% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.26%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV +7.19%E +1.24%K +1.50%G +0.108% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%EV +2.27%E +0.605%K +0.825%G +0.019% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -10.49%E -6.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 21:47 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -11.03%E -6.73%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -11.03%E -6.73%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -11.03%E -6.73%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -11.03%E -6.73%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.459%E -0.126%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -11.58%E -7.10%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV +3.49%E +0.624%K +0.759%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -1.82%E -0.506%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.38%EV -10.49%E -6.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 16.88%EV +1.83%E +0.332%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.73%EV -5.09%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +1.65%E +0.299%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -2.91%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +1.65%E +0.299%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -2.91%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -10.49%E -6.36%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.65%E +0.299%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -0.203%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.57%EV -0.203%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.95%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.34%EV -14.29%E -9.04%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -0.203%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.34%EV -14.29%E -9.04%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -0.203%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.49%EV -14.83%E -9.45%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.72%EV -0.203%E -0.038%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.86%E -5.28%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.98%E -0.567%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.41%E -5.63%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -2.98%E -0.567%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.59%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -3.90%E -0.750%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.30%EV -6.69%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.75%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.39%EV -7.00%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -12.12%E -7.48%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -5.75%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.55%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-28 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.76%EV -6.49%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -6.19%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.56%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.41%E -5.63%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-28 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -12.12%E -7.48%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -14.83%E -9.45%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.52%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.52%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.91%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -9.95%E -5.99%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -13.14%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -14.99%E -3.26%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.15%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.73%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -8.86%E -5.28%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -18.68%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -8.64%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-28 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 21:50 |