Language:English
Cerro Porteño v Junior FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cerro Porteño (Local)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.36%42.32%45.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.182.202.3048.54%45.91%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Junior FC (Visit)
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.75%26.57%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.503.523.8532.79%28.54%28.37%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%30.89%31.11%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.45%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cerro Porteño (Local): 42.20%; Junior FC (Visit): 26.86%; Draw: 30.94%. For Junior FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +3.41%E +0.886%K +1.20%G +0.041% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -0.987%E -0.309%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +3.41%E +0.886%K +1.20%G +0.041% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -0.987%E -0.309%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.91%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.03%EV -1.92%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.91%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.03%EV -1.92%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.06%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +2.07%E +0.544%K +0.738%G +0.015% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -2.53%E -0.805%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.48%EV +1.53%E +0.405%K +0.550%G +0.008% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.90%EV -6.56%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -9.69%E -4.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -9.69%E -4.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -9.69%E -4.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -9.69%E -4.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -9.69%E -4.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -0.619%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.31%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -7.79%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.31%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.24%EV -11.20%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.31%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.31%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -13.07%E -6.34%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.31%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.10%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.65%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -9.65%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.27%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.36%E -4.77%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.51%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.08%EV -6.53%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.41%EV -6.56%E -2.17%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 21:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.90%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.37%EV -11.20%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.37%EV -11.20%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -16.46%E -6.10%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -11.38%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |